159
FNUS73 KDTX 161142
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Huron Hills Golf Course Rx Burn...City of Ann Arbor Natural Area Preservation
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
742 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Warmer and dry today with RH values in the 40s to upper
30s. Scattered showers possible overnight with additional showers
and storms possible daytime Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds...becoming south up to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...366).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........26  30  30  36  40  41  47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............67  70  72  74  76  76  76
RH..............63  56  52  48  46  47  47
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   4   5   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   6   6   6   7   8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.4 4.3 5.1 5.9 6.0 5.1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISPER....138 138 214 257 351 421 357

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening. Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 6 mph in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...26).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     64     68     78     86     89
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     70     63     59     57     57
RH..............50     59     75     85     92     93
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6      6      4      4      2      2
EYE LVL WND GST.10     11     10     8      7      6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3600   800    600    500    500    400
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3
SMOKE DISPER....360    73     50     38     38     31

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds...becoming southwest up to 5 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph...becoming west 7 to 10 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Fair (MAX...279).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........91        88        78        63
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............57        63        71        76
RH..............98        86        68        59
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2      S 2       S 4       SW 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..6         6         7         8
MIX HGT (FT)....400       700       2300      3600
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3
SMOKE DISPER....25        66        214       294

$$
Forecaster...Considine
Requested by...Becky Hand
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414373.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bhand@a2gov.org