Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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967
FNUS74 KMOB 241322
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for CHICK 374 376...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
822 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 78 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 76 EXPECTED WEDNESDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...

.DISCUSSION...
A light west to northwest flow is expected today and Wednesday as a
surface low over the Southeast moves north up the Atlantic coast.
Dispersion indices will be good and minimum RH values dip to around
45 to 48 percent each afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Light and patchy late night fog
possible tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2400-3900 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...732-1189 meters AGL increasing to 1341-1585
                    meters AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 5 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....30 increasing to 78.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  59  60  61  62  59  53  48  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  66  69  70  72  73  74  75  75
RH..............78  68  61  59  55  51  50  48  48
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.        8   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  15
Trans wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Trans spd (m/s).5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..30  46  52  55  59  63  65  66  71
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1585 meters AGL decreasing to 122-305 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 13 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 2 to 6 meters/second decreasing to
                    around 1 meters/second early in the morning.
Dispersion index....78 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  33  32  30  28  26  24  23  24  27  29  31
Weather cov.....                                        PTY PTY
Weather type....                                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  72  69  66  63  61  60  59  58  56  55  54
RH..............50  53  61  68  75  81  84  83  86  93  93  100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 3.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.6 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  9   9   7   6   6   5   5   5   3
Trans wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   1
Dispersion idx..78  6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-2100 ft AGL increasing to 5000-5400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-640 meters AGL increasing to 1524-1646
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 76.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  35  33  29  27  25  21  18  17  14  13  17
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  55  59  63  66  70  72  74  75  77  77  76
RH..............100 96  87  75  68  57  53  50  48  47  47  48
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6       8   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   10  13  14  14  14  14  13  13  10
Trans wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   4
Dispersion idx..2   5   13  29  50  61  68  74  73  75  76  67
LVORI...........10  8   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...49
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807595.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/24/18
.EMAIL rjlandrum@fs.fed.us



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