Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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000
FNUS71 KRNK 191910
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Mare Run/Middle Mtn. RX...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
310 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Lingering rain/snow showers will gradually dissipate overnight.
Precipitation amounts will be very light. Good burn conditions
for Friday with good mixing and ventilation without strong wind
gusts.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 14 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 31 to 32 mph.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................84.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10
Temp............38  38
RH..............72  69
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  12
20 FT wind gust.18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.7
Mixng wind dir..NW  NW
Mixng wind spd..32  31
LVORI...........1   1
ADI.............86  82
Haines index....2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 26 to 32 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................78 decreasing to 19.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     63     60     55     50     30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............37     36     35     34     34     33
RH..............68     68     70     73     75     76
20 ft wind......NW 12  NW 8   NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.17     16     12     10     10     7
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   3300   2900   2700   2500   2100
Mixing wind......NW 30  NW 30  NW 32  NW 31  NW 29  NW 28
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      1      2
ADI.............78     40     43     42     39     19
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 24 mph decreasing to 14 to 17
                    mph late in the morning.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 increasing to 62.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      4      4      3      2      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............30     33     40     46     50     53
RH..............78     80     46     36     31     28
20 ft wind......W 6    W 7    NW 7   NW 7   NW 7   NW 8
20 ft wind gust.8      11     12     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   1900   2500   3000   3500   3600
Mixing wind......NW 24  NW 20  NW 15  NW 14  NW 15  NW 16
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1      1
ADI.............16     45     43     44     52     57
Haines index....3      4      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Sporer
Requested by...Nick Jeros
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807030.1/RNK
.DELDT 04/19/18


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