Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 230819
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns will be minimal over the next few days.
Periods of rain will affect the region today and Tuesday as an upper
level storm system approaches from the west. In addition to the rain
today, high winds can also be expected in the higher terrain of the
Tennessee Mountains. Winds will subside later tonight.

This system will finally move east of the region Tuesday night.
However, another weak disturbance will quickly follow, meaning at
least partly cloudy conditions will continue through the latter half
of the week as well as some slight rain chances in the higher
terrain.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240930-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-8)   48-53 (+2)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+17)  85-90 (+5)   57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 18 G43                 SE 11 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 17 G41    SE 17 G41    S  5 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           70           80
Precip duration       5            2            8
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.38         0.18         0.25
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1100                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 31                     S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    96100                     42000
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             6                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 23 G43                 SE 14 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 22 G41    SE 21 G41    S  7 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the 30s to upper 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240930-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (-5)   45-50 (0)    58-63
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+9)   88-93 (0)    64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 27 G61                 SE 12 G38
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 24 G55    SE 21 G51    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           70
Precip duration       5            5            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.66         0.38         0.26
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3600                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   900                       1000
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 44                     S  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    158400                    25900
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             7                         6
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 34 G61                 SE 15 G38
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 30 G55    SE 26 G51    SW  5 G18

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-240930-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (0)    47-52 (0)    58-63
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+3)   91-96 (+5)   63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 27 G70                 SW  5 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 22 G61    SE 14 G42    W  6 G15
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           70           90
Precip duration       5            3            8
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.44         0.38         0.27
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 49                     W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    210700                    46000
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             6                         7
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 34 G70                 SW  7 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 28 G61    SE 17 G42    W  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-240930-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+4)   50-55 (0)    62-67
RH % (24h trend)      64-69 (+6)   93-98 (+6)   60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 21 G49                 SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 16 G46    SE  9 G25    W  7
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           80
Precip duration       5            5            8
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.41         0.28         0.19
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3800                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1800                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 43                     W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    163400                    52800
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             6                         8
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 26 G49                 SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 20 G46    SE 11 G25    W  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 40s to lower 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-240930-
Nantahala National Forest-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+5)   48-53 (0)    62-67
RH % (24h trend)      68-73 (+2)   95-100 (+2)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 17 G43                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 15 G41    SE  9 G25    W  6
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           80
Precip duration       5            5            8
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.59         0.31         0.19
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3900                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 35                     W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    136500                    51000
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             7                         9
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 22 G43                 SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 19 G41    SE 11 G25    W  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240930-
East Tennessee District East-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-4)   49-54 (0)    62-67
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (+13)  87-92 (+3)   61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E 19 G45                  SE  7 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 17 G40    E 13 G36     SW  5
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           70           80
Precip duration       5            3            8
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.33         0.23         0.26
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      2700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      1200
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 33                     SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    105600                    27000
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             6                         7
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E 24 G45                  SE  8 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 22 G40    E 17 G36     SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240930-
East Tennessee District West-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (-2)   50-55 (0)    64-69
RH % (24h trend)      61-66 (+10)  90-95 (+5)   61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E 14 G35                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 13 G35    E  8 G25     SW  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           80
Precip duration       5            8            8
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.35         0.31         0.20
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3400                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 30                     SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    102000                    44200
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             7                         7
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E 18 G35                  SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 16 G35    E 10 G25     SW  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-240930-
Cumberland District South-
419 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018 /319 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (+5)   51-56 (0)    65-70
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (+7)   93-98 (+2)   58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 12 G31                 SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G29    SE  5        SW  6
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     70           80           70
Precip duration       3            5            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.41         0.22         0.14
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2400                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 28                     W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    98000                     43200
Dispersion            0 Very poor               0 Very poor
Max LVORI             8                         8
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 15 G31                 SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 12 G29    SE  6        SW  8

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in
the 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to mid
70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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