Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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070
FNUS54 KMRX 240758
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A summer-like pattern will continue through the rest of
this week with warm temperatures and chances for afternoon showers
and thunderstorms.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (+5)   59-64 (+3)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (-12)  91-96 (-2)   52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  5                      S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6        SE  5        S  6
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           0            40
Precip duration       1                         1
Precip begin          1 PM                      8 AM
Precip end            8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.20
LAL                   2            1            3
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4400                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    83200                     76800
Dispersion            48 Gen good               45 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  6                      S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8        SE  6        S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      76-81 (+4)   58-63 (+3)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-9)   93-98 (-3)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G16                 S  6 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G18    SE  7 G18    S  8 G18
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.18
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6300                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3500                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 15                     S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    94500                     84000
Dispersion            46 Gen good               39 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G16                 S  8 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G18    SE  9 G18    S  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-250900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      75-80 (+1)   58-63 (+1)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (-3)   92-97 (-1)   58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  6                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G17    SE  7 G17    S  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.11         0.03         0.27
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3000                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    78000                     68400
Dispersion            29 Fair                   25 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  7                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G17    SE  9 G17    S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-250900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (+2)   60-65 (+1)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-3)   95-100 (+3)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  5        SE  5        S  6
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.15         0.02         0.19
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      5800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8                      S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    48000                     58000
Dispersion            26 Fair                   34 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7                     SE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7        SE  7        S  8

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-250900-
Nantahala National Forest-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      77-82 (0)    60-65 (+4)   74-79
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (-3)   95-100 (-1)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6                     SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6        SE  5        SE  6
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.17         0.05         0.17
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      6300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3900                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    61000                     63000
Dispersion            33 Fair                   37 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7                     SE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  7        SE  7        SE  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250900-
East Tennessee District East-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+5)   61-66 (+3)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (-9)   88-93 (-5)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  7        SE  5        S  6
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.01         0.24
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      5800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    78000                     58000
Dispersion            51 Gen good               39 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  6                      S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8        SE  6        S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph
early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250900-
East Tennessee District West-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (+3)   62-67 (+1)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (-6)   92-97 (+3)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   12 AM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.20
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4800                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   E  9                      S  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    54900                     48600
Dispersion            38 Fair                   33 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E  6         SE  5        S  6

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-250900-
Cumberland District South-
358 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 /258 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (+3)   63-68 (0)    79-84
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-2)   93-98 (+4)   56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   12 AM        Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.03         0.16
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4900                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  7                     S  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    42700                     36800
Dispersion            29 Fair                   25 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  6                     S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E  5         SE  5        S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s
to lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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