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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KALY 221958
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
358 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will bring cool and dry weather through tonight.
Breezy and milder weather arrives on Tuesday with increasing
clouds. A low pressure system will bring some rain and a
localized high elevation rain snow mix Tuesday night through
Wednesday before drier weather returns for the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
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Clear tonight with high pressure in control of the weather.
WInds will trend to light to near calm by daybreak. Lows in the
mid 20s to lower 30s.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Low level ridging builds east of our region Tuesday as warm
advection increases. South winds will be a bit breezy at times.
Good mixing along with sunshine will help temperatures climb to
60s for highs, with around 60 higher terrain.

Upper energy approaches from the Great Lakes and OH Valley
Tuesday nigh and exits Wednesday into Wednesday night. The
associated cold front and low level forcing along the leading
edge of cold advection and wind shift will track through on
Wednesday. Showers move into the region Tuesday night, continue
through Wednesday and exit Wednesday evening. A rumble of
thunder cannot be ruled out, especially south of the Capital
Region but too small a chance to include at this time. Highs
Wednesday in the 50s, with around 60 mid Hudson Valley and some
40s southern Adirondacks. Temperatures expected to fall through
the afternoon in many areas with the colder air spreading into
the region. Rain showers end as a mix of rain and snow showers
in the southern Adirondacks and southern Green Mountains.

Clearing Wednesday night and sunshine Thursday. Highs Thursday
in the 50s with around 50 higher terrain.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
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Upper level ridging and low level warm advection builds into our
region Friday through the weekend. Upper energy in the central
U.S. will track around the northern periphery of the upper
ridging Saturday into the beginning of next week. So, while
there will be a warm up, chances for showers each day. Highs
Friday and Saturday in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs Sunday
and Monday in the 60s to lower 70s.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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High pressure controls our weather through Tuesday afternoon.
Just a few clouds at or above 10000 feet through the period. Dry
weather should limit chances for fog, so no restrictions to
visibility expected through Tuesday afternoon.

Winds will be west to north at around 10 Kt with some gusts near
or just above 15 Kt the rest of this afternoon, diminishing to
less than 6 Kt this evening and tonight. Winds shift to south
Tuesday, and increase to around 10 Kt by afternoon. gusting
around 20 Kt through Tuesday afternoon.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of SHRA.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
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Dry weather will be in place across the region through Tuesday.
Temperatures will rebound into the 60s by Tuesday. Mostly sunny
conditions are expected today with a gradual increase in clouds
on Tuesday.

RH values lower to 25 to 35 percent on Tuesday with southerly
winds gusting to around 25 mph by the afternoon hours.

A period of rainfall is expected Tuesday night through Wednesday
before drier weather returns for the end of the week.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...NAS
NEAR TERM...NAS
SHORT TERM...NAS
LONG TERM...NAS
AVIATION...NAS
FIRE WEATHER...NAS