Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 200527

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1227 AM CDT Tue Mar 20 2018

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period. Low
clouds observed earlier at KGUY are finally moving out to the
southeast giving way for clear skies with the exception of a few
high clouds. Northwesterly winds this morning will give way to
westerly winds this afternoon of 10-15 kts. Winds will then shift
to southeasterly and easterly of 5-10 kts toward the end of the
TAF period as a surface trough develops to the west of the TAF



PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 439 PM CDT Mon Mar 19 2018/

A dry forecast is back in store for the Panhandles.

Winds will diminish through the evening as the cold front exits
the Panhandles. Mild temperatures expected tomorrow as northwest
flow will be in place.

Temperatures will gradually warm through Friday as high pressure
rebuilds over the NM/AZ area. Continued amplification of the high
is expected through the later part of the work week. Shortwave
trough expected to move through the area on Friday afternoon.
Breezy winds to mix down with gusts of 25 to 35 mph possible. High
temperatures right now look to be in the upper 80s. Saturday
will be a bit cooler as flow becomes more westerly, but temperatures
will still be near to above 80 degrees.

Sunday will be similar to Saturday as far as the setup, with a
Pacific front to move through later in the afternoon. Right now
high temperatures are a bit cooler, upper 60s to upper 70s, versus
Saturdays highs. This has the front moving through a few hours
before peak heating. If the front comes through later, then will
be looking at warmer high temperatures on Sunday.


High pressure will bring temperatures up and ERC`s down through
the work week. Shortwave trough under southwest flow aloft
possible on Friday, with a surface low setting up along the lee
side of the Rockies. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph possible on Friday, with relative humidity values in the
10-15 percent range.

Continued west southwest flow expected on Saturday will contribute
to elevated to possibly critical Fire Weather conditions across
the Panhandles.

Same setup on Sunday, but the Pacific front is expected to move
through the Panhandles which will allow for a significant wind
shift. So if any large fires are ongoing, the wind shift out of
the north will be something to keep in mind.


Some MVFR to VFR ceilings can be expected through 00Z to 03Z
Tuesday and then VFR conditions will prevail at all three TAF
sites through 18Z Tuesday. North to northwest winds 20 to 35 knots
with gusts to 35 and 40 knots will diminish after 00Z to 03Z
Tuesday to around 10 to 20 knots and then becoming northwest to
west and southwest 5 to 15 knots after 05Z to 08Z Tuesday.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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