Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 132256
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
556 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions will prevail at all three TAF sites through 00Z
Sunday. Some MVFR ceilings can be expected between 00Z and 04Z
Saturday with the possibility for light rain or snow showers at
all three TAF sites. North and northwest winds 20 to 30 knots with
gusts to around 35 to 40 knots will increase to around 25 to 35
and 40 knots with gusts of 45 knots or higher after 04Z to 08Z
Saturday.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1145 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018/

AVIATION...
18Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions at Dalhart and Amarillo will become MVFR around 19Z
to 22Z today until around 01Z to 03Z Saturday with the Guymon TAF
site remaining MVFR through 00Z to 02Z Saturday. Some light rain
showers will affect the three TAF sites between 18Z today and 02Z
to 04Z Saturday. VFR conditions will return after 00Z to 02Z
Saturday. North and northwest winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts to
around 35 knots will increase to around 25 to 35 knots with gusts
near 45 knots after 00Z to 02Z Saturday and then 30 to 40 knots
with gusts near 45 knots after 12Z to 14Z Saturday.

Schneider

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 633 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018/

AVIATION...
Mostly VFR through the 12Z TAF period. GUY has a chance to see
MVFR and maybe IFR depending on rain showers. GUY winds are
already out of the NW, while DHT and AMA will be W for a couple of
more hours then will be NW as well. Expect strong winds
associated with a front, 20-30 kts gusting 30-40 kts. GUY has a
better chance of seeing some showers around 16Z while DHT may only
see vicinity showers and AMA will see nothing.

TLH/LFM

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 424 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Lots of wind coming.

Dynamic closed mid-level low will intensify as it passes to our
north today.  Associated cold front will pass through the Texas
and Oklahoma Panhandles by late afternoon.  Tight gradients will
support strong winds today, this evening, and again on Saturday.

Light rain showers will be possible across mainly the northwest
half of the forecast area today and this evening, owing to the
strength of this system.

West and southwest winds expected to reach wind advisory levels as
early as 10 AM today across the southern Texas Panhandle.

Northwest winds expected to reach wind advisory levels as early
as 2 PM today across the Oklahoma Panhandle and the northern
Texas Panhandle as post-frontal winds increase.

Strong northwest winds likely to persist through Saturday across
much of the area, with the strongest winds expected across the
Oklahoma Panhandle, where a High Wind Watch will be in effect.

Below-normal high temperatures are expected today and Saturday
with freezing temperatures will be possible tonight and Saturday
night across most of the area.  Modest warmup expected on Sunday
with light winds.

Lee trof sets up again Monday and Tuesday, with warm and windy
conditions expected again.  Cold front Tuesday night brings highs
on Wednesday close to normal.  Low-level moisture expected to
return on Thursday, with thunderstorms possible beginning Thursday
night.  03

Cockrell

FIRE WEATHER...
Critical to extremely critical fire weather are expected today and
this evening across the southern half of the Texas Panhandle plus
the eastern one-third of the Combined Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles due to strong southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph with
higher gusts and low relative humidity values less than 10
percent.  Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across
remaining sections of the forecast area.  Elevated to critical
fire weather conditions will be possible across much of the
region on Saturday, Monday, and Tuesday due to strong winds and
low relative humidity values.  03

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Hard Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT
     Saturday for the following zones: Dallam...Hansford...
     Hartley...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Sherman.

     Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
     evening for the following zones: Armstrong...Carson...
     Collingsworth...Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...
     Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...Hutchinson...Lipscomb...
     Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...Potter...Randall...Roberts...
     Sherman...Wheeler.

     Wind Advisory until 8 AM CDT Saturday for the following zones:
     Dallam...Hansford...Hartley...Ochiltree...Sherman.

     Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Saturday for
     the following zones: Armstrong...Carson...Deaf Smith...
     Donley...Gray...Hemphill...Hutchinson...Oldham...Potter...
     Randall...Roberts...Wheeler.

     Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Armstrong...Collingsworth...Deaf Smith...Donley...
     Oldham...Potter...Randall.

OK...Hard Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT
     Saturday for the following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
     evening for the following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Wind Advisory until 8 AM CDT Saturday for the following zones:
     Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     High Wind Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon
     for the following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.


&&

$$

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