Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 142124
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
424 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Strong winds continue across the Panhandles this afternoon but are
expected to diminish this overnight tonight. The winds won`t be
the only thing dropping overnight, as our overnight lows drop into
the 20s areawide. For this reason the Hard Freeze Watch has been
upgraded to a Hard Freeze Warning. After the cold temperatures in
the morning, Sunday will turn out to be a very nice day. High
temperatures will reach into the 60s. There is some potential for
a frost across the Oklahoma Panhandle Sunday night, but it will
rely on winds being light enough.

On Monday, warm weather starts to return to the area as high
temperatures increase into the 80s areawide. Winds will also be
on the rise as a lee side low develops over southeast Colorado.
Tuesday looks to be the greatest concern for fire weather
conditions over the next seven days. Strong winds return to the
area with the strongest over the western half of the Panhandles.
An approaching cold front will also help our temperatures rise
into the upper 80s to lower 90s across the eastern half of the
Panhandles. Activities which could result to a spark or flame
should be limited.

Tuesday night bring a cold front again through the Panhandles.
This will lead to another drop in temperatures on Wednesday with
northwest winds. Thursday and Friday will see low level moisture
transport return to the Panhandles. As an upper level system looks
to approach the Panhandles on Friday. This could result in precip
across portions of the area. This is very far in advance so
adjustments will be needed.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated and critical fire weather conditions are expected to
continue until the winds decrease this evening around 9 PM. At
this point we should be able to let the Red Flag Warning expire.
Neither elevated nor critical fire weather conditions are expected
on Sunday.

Monday and Tuesday will both hold fire weather concerns across
most of the Panhandles. Monday will see elevated to critical fire
weather conditions across most of the Panhandles as winds increase
back into the 20 to 25mph range as afternoon RH values drop to the
teens and single digits. Tuesday holds the greatest concern for
fire weather conditions as RH drops into single digits areawide as
winds increase into the 30 to 35 mph range. The strongest winds
are expected across the western half of the Panhandles while the
warmest temperatures are expected across the eastern half of the
Panhandles. The Red Flag Threat Index across the Panhandles on
Tuesday are 7 and 8.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                28  69  42  86  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  23  65  33  83  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              24  66  36  83  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  29  69  43  87  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              26  71  41  87  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  27  69  41  86  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               28  69  40  86  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 25  68  37  85  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  24  66  36  85  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                27  70  42  86  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                25  66  36  83  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   27  67  41  85  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                29  68  38  85  56 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              30  69  38  87  57 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Dallam...Hansford...Hartley...Hutchinson...
     Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Roberts...Sherman.

     Hard Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Sunday for the
     following zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...
     Dallam...Deaf Smith...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hartley...
     Hemphill...Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...
     Oldham...Potter...Randall...Roberts...Sherman...Wheeler.

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...Deaf Smith...
     Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hemphill...Hutchinson...
     Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...Potter...Randall...
     Roberts...Wheeler.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...Deaf Smith...
     Donley...Gray...Hemphill...Oldham...Potter...Randall...
     Wheeler.

OK...High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Hard Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Sunday for the
     following zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Beaver.


&&

$$

2/14



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