Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KAMA 272300
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
600 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions will prevail at all three TAF sites through 00Z
Tuesday. Some showers and thunderstorms may affect the three TAF
sites between 00Z and 03Z Monday with the best chances being the
Guymon TAF site. East to southeast and south winds 10 to 20 knots
with gusts near 25 to 30 knots will be the rule at all three TAF
sites with stronger and erratic winds in and near thunderstorms.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 405 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms developing at this time will have support from
moderate to strong instability, shear around 30 kt, steep mid-
level lapse rates and divergence in the upper levels. Low-level
jet will develop after sunset, with continued support.  Very good
opportunity for thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening also as
airmass east of dryline moistens further.

Models diverge Tuesday and beyond with distribution of low-level
moisture.  Resulting unrealistic pops distributions offered by
Blend have been smoothed, and capped or eliminated in later
periods.

Above-normal temperatures are expected daily, with Thursday
through Saturday possibly reaching Heat Advisory levels in Palo
Duro Canyon.

Cockrell

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

11


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.