Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 191724 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 124 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Persistent northwesterly flow will keep unseasonably cold and dry weather over the North Country through midweek. A coastal low will strengthen Wednesday as it moves from the Carolina Coast northeastward. The brunt of the impacts with this system still look to be to our south and east, however can`t rule out some precipitation over areas of Vermont Wednesday and Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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As of 1254 PM EDT Monday...Once again, only minor adjustments to the current forecast to adjust for hourly temperature trends. Otherwise, temperatures have rebounded nicely so far with most locations already warming into the upper teens and lower 20s. Previous discussion...High pressure will build across the North Country, keeping conditions cool and dry. A couple of shortwaves will traverse through the northwest flow aloft, but given the very dry airmass in place, don`t expect much out of these other than some scattered clouds. Highs today will be similar to yesterday, ranging from the upper teens in the Northeast Kingdom to the upper 20s in the wider valleys. Tonight will be chilly once again as most places bottom out in the single digits. Tuesday will see some improvement in temperatures and the core of the cold air begins to lift north and east. Temperatures will top out in the upper 20s to lower 30s on Tuesday
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&& .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 400 AM EDT Monday...Tuesday night and Wednesday will be dry and cold with system skirting by to our South. Temperatures will continue to run below seasonal normals for mid to late March as high pressure ridges into the area out of Canada. Min temps will be in the single digits and lower teens, then highs in the lower to mid 30s. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 400 AM EDT Monday...More quiet weather is expected from Wednesday night straight through Monday. Another system will pass to our South on Saturday night into Sunday morning, and do not expect any impacts for the North Country with it. Daytime highs will be below seasonal normals through the period, with overnight min temps closer to normal. && .AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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Through 18z Tuesday...VFR conditions will persist through the forecast period as high pressure remains dominant. Some gusty winds will be seen at most sites through 22Z-23Z but will quickly diminish once temperatures begin to cool around sunset. Expect winds on Tuesday to be 10 kt or less with a few cirrus clouds moving through the region. Outlook... Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHSN. Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Slight chance SHSN. Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX. Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
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&& .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Hastings NEAR TERM...Clay/Hastings SHORT TERM...Neiles LONG TERM...Neiles AVIATION...Clay is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.