Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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947
FNUS71 KCTP 290839
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 60 Woods...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
439 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 29.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
After some patchy morning fog generally across northern PA, mostly
clear conditions are expected for the majority of central
Pennsylvania outside of some lingering clouds across the northern
tier. This will allow for temperatures generally in the 80s and
MinRHs to drop into the 30-40% range across portions of the
Central Mountains with a light westerly wind. In the late afternoon
and evening hours, some showers and thunderstorms have potential
to develop across the northern tier before a more widespread
soaking rainfall enters the area overnight into Tuesday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
Min Humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing Height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 14 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................55 to 62.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  7   8   8   20  17  21  22  22
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  68  71  72  75  75  76  77  76
RH................  65  59  55  50  48  46  43  45
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  13  13  13  12  11  11  11  10
20 FT Wind Gust...  14  16  16  16  14  14  16  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.6 4.7 5.4 5.7 6.1 5.5 5.6 5.7
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  15  18  20  18  18  17  15  14
LVORI.............  3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  55  55  62  62  62  55  55  55
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the evening.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 58.
Max Humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    south 7 to 8 mph late in the evening.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 to 17.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  8   11  24  34  48  40  50  46  41  33  45  43
Weather Cov.......                      SCH
Weather Type......                      RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  76  75  70  68  66  64  64  63  62  61  60  60
RH................  45  46  57  59  65  70  70  75  78  81  81  81
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  10  8   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   8   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  13  10  8       8   10  10  8   8   10  8   8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  5.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  13  10  8   8   9   10  10  9   9   10  9   9
LVORI.............  2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  17  17  17  8   8   8   9   9   9   8   8   8
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
Min Humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    west around 14 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 61 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  57  51  48  47  49  65  69  62  59  63  67  71
Weather Cov.......          SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type......          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........                      SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Temp..............  59  60  62  65  69  71  72  73  74  72  71  69
RH................  83  81  78  70  63  57  53  51  50  53  57  61
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   7   8   10  11  12  13  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   8   10  11  13  14  16  17  17  17  18  18
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.7 5.2 4.4 3.6 2.8
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   10  12  16  16  17  18  20  20  20  20
LVORI.............  4   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  11  11  11  42  42  42  61  61  61  57  57  57
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Tyburski
Requested by...Eric Erdman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412663.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eerdman@pa.gov