036
FNUS73 KDLH 060915
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for 102 RX...Wisconsin DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
415 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 06.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Light southerly 20-foot winds early this morning increase by late
morning and lead to increasing smoke dispersal values. Breezy
southeasterly 20-foot and transport winds are expected this
afternoon and evening at the fire site with minimum relative
humidity dropping to the low-30% range today. A wetting rainfall
is not expected at the fire site until early Tuesday morning that
lasts into Tuesday afternoon. The best chance of thunderstorms at
the fire site and gusty, erratic winds is Tuesday afternoon and
evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph increasing to around 18
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (66500-82200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  40  46  53  59  63  65  67  69  70  71  69
RH..............82  85  76  64  53  44  37  34  35  33  33  33
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   9   12  14  14  15  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 2.5 5.1 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   12  15  16  16  18  18  18  18
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   4   7   25  67  78  80  75  78  79  82

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    late in the evening.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (66800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    fair (5900-17600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     61     57     54     52     51
RH..............36     46     55     61     66     71
20 ft wind......SE 10  SE 9   E 10   SE 11  SE 12  SE 12
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     19     21     21
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   700    700    700    900    1000
Transport wind..SE 18  SE 12  SE 13  SE 14  SE 15  SE 16
Haines index....4      5      5      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100067     7      8      9      12     14

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (100 percent). Rain in the morning with
                    thunderstorms possible in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.80 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Temp............52     55     58     58     58     60
RH..............74     77     77     80     77     75
20 ft wind......E 13   E 15   SE 13  SE 12  SE 11  SE 10
20 ft wind gust.22     22     21     20     18     14

$$
Forecaster...Nathan
Requested by...Zak Neitzel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413234.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary.neitzel@wisconsin.gov