980
FNUS53 KDTX 130803
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

.DISCUSSION...Late night showers and thunderstorms exit eastward
after ushering a fresh supply of warm and moist air into the region.
Showers and thunderstorms then redevelop along a cold front settling
into central Lower Michigan this afternoon. The active pattern
continues tonight through Tuesday as the cold front moves south and
then stalls across the area until moving south of the Michigan
border later Tuesday night. A cooler and less humid air mass follows
the front providing a short break in rain activity for the mid week
period.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-132130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
403 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6650-7150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1456).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm, then rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......920-1120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 11 am, then chance of showers
                    until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1860-2360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (344).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-132130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
403 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 8 am. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest
                    around 10 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1562).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 pm. Rain showers. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....44-50.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 11 am, then chance of showers
                    until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (330).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-132130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
403 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 8 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    8 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......8120-8620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1665).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming east after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 11 am, then chance of showers. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1420-1920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (243).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs around 70. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

BT