Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

000
FXUS64 KEPZ 180907
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
307 AM MDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure aloft will bring seasonably hot temperatures and dry
weather across southern New Mexico and west Texas this week. A few
showers and thunderstorms may develop next Sunday as moisture
flows back into the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Center of high pressure aloft will be off the northern Baja coast
through Tuesday with associated ridge extending to the east
across southern New Mexico. The upper high will be drifting slowly
east with center over northern Baja by late Wednesday. Friday and
Saturday ridge flattens and shifts just south of the border as
upper trough moves across the Rockies. This pattern evolution
will sustain northwest to westerly flow aloft across the CWA with
inflow of warm dry air at mid levels.

Surface thermal/heat trough will meanwhile extend through mainly
central portions of the CWA this week causing an east to southeast
wind across eastern zones. This will result in some low level
moisture inflow with dewpoints occasionally rising into the 40s
and even 50s east of the Rio Grande. However moisture transport
will be shallow and warm dry air aloft should keep air mass
stable. Thus expect no rainfall through Saturday with afternoon
high temperatures around 7 to 10 degrees above normal each day.

Longer range guidance shows upper high center shifting to the east
allowing circulation to advect deeper moisture into the region.
This may support a few thunderstorms east of the Rio Grande early
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...valid 18/12z-19/12z.
VFR conditions with skies SKC-SCT100. Surface winds around 5-15
kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
High pressure aloft will bring seasonably hot temperatures and dry
weather across southern New Mexico and west Texas this week. A few
showers and thunderstorms may develop next Sunday as moisture
flows back into the region. Afternoon high temperatures around 7
to 10 degrees above normal. Surface winds around 5 to 15 mph
today and Tuesday and around 10 to 20 mph Wednesday through
Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 97  74 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca           93  68  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces              94  68  99  65 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo              95  67  97  66 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft              75  53  76  53 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences   93  69  98  66 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City             88  61  93  59 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                  95  66 100  63 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg               92  64  98  62 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro      96  74  99  72 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City               97  68  98  69 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock            97  72 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda              93  68  94  68 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                  97  70 100  70 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa            96  70  99  69 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ          96  71  98  69 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range           96  67  99  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                   97  67 101  63 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                96  68 101  66 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande               96  71  98  69 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                 83  57  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero               83  56  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                81  56  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                 87  58  91  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro               91  62  96  61 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport               95  66  98  63 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts            86  54  90  51 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                  89  61  94  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                   91  56  96  53 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek              89  61  94  58 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                 90  63  95  61 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                  93  64  99  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                 93  63  99  62 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells          93  64  98  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale              88  62  93  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05 Rogash


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.