146
FNUS75 KFGZ 260245
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for 6 ESB A CO operations...Camp Navajo Fire Dept
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
745 PM MST Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Shower and storm activity is diminishing this
evening as a low pressure system is passing over the region. Winds
at the site will remain variable for the next few hours as
decaying showers and storms have left numerous outflows over the
area.

Overnight, winds should start to becoming southwesterly again.

Another low pressure system will be entering the region tomorrow.
The increasing SW winds ahead of it combined with terrain lift on
the Colorado Plateau will aid in developing scattered showers late
tomorrow morning, which could impact the area. Precipitation
coverage increases during the afternoon with numerous scattered
storms expected: thunderstorms tomorrow could produce ample
amounts of small hail and graupel.

Friday night thunderstorm coverage decreases but showers will
persist. Dropping temperatures with the continued shower activity
will result in rain showers transitioning over to snow showers
Friday night into early Saturday morning. Confidence is high that
snow amounts will remain under 2 inches, possible under an inch.

The weather will remain unsettled into Saturday as the low moves
east with a decrease in shower activity for the morning before
more showers and storms develop in the afternoon. Dry, quiet
weather returns by Sunday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy, becoming mostly clear.
                    Slight chance of a rain shower early this
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Variable winds 5-10 mph before 9 PM, becoming
                    south southwest at 5 mph.

TIME (MST)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........53     28     24     8      15
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     0      0      0
Temp............39     35     33     31     29
RH..............82     96     96     100    100
Surface wind....VRB 7  SW 5   SW 5   SSW 5  SSW 5
Surface wnd gst.15     10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy
                    after 10 AM. Chance of rain showers late in the
                    morning. Rain and thunderstorm chances increasing
                    after noon and persisting through the afternoon.
                    Thunderstorms could produce large amounts of small
                    hail and graupel.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Thunderstorms in the afternoon will result
                    in gusty, erratic winds

TIME (MST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     20     15     69     79     72
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      30     50     60
Temp............29     41     49     51     50     47
RH..............100    70     50     46     48     56
Surface wind....SSW 10  S 15  SW 15  SW 20  SW 20  SW 20
Surface wnd gst.       20     25     30     30     30

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers with chance of thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Thunderstorms could produce large amounts
                    of small hail and graupel. Rain showers will transition
                    to snow showers after sunset.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........81     86     79     81     77     82
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSN   SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE               S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70     70     70     50     50     50
Temp............43     36     30     29     28     27
RH..............67     92     100    100    100    100
Surface wind....SW 15  SW 15  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
Surface wnd gst.25     25     15     15     15     15

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with lingering rain and snow showers in the
                    morning. Some clearing late morning will help produce isolated
                    to scattered showers and storms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........85     86     84     78     72     72
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     50     60     60     60
Temp............28     31     37     42     46     49
RH..............100    100    89     73     63     53
Surface wind....SW 10  W 10   W 15   W 15   W 15   W 15
Surface wnd gst.15     15     20     20     25     25

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...Tim Irwin
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2412530.0/FGZ
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.irwin@azdema.gov