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098
FXUS61 KGYX 071034
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
634 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds into the area today along with warm
daytime temperatures. Widespread showers move in by the end of
on Wednesday with some thunder possible across western NH
Wednesday afternoon or evening. Another system follows for the
end of the week, bringing the possibility of more showers into
the forecast. The unsettled, showery pattern may continue
through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --
630 AM...No changes to the going forecast. Locally dense valley
fog will lift and dissipate early on.

Previously...

Weak high pressure settles over the area today with light winds,
mostly sunny skies and temperatures mainly in the 70s. A
seabreeze may make it onto some peninsulas, but overall it
appears as though opposing flow will keep the the seabreeze
largely offshore.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
Our stretch of warm and fair weather ends tonight as low
pressure approaches from the west and a warm front sharpens up
to our south. This will aid in increasing forcing for ascent
along with a developing easterly flow. This evening will be dry
but rain showers will likely move into western zones after
midnight as the short wave trough and attendant SFC low pressure
center approaches. Rain can be expected for most of the forecast
area by mid morning on Wednesday. Not out of the question that
a thunderstorm could be embedded within the larger area of
rain/showers as steep mid level lapse rates advect in from west
aiding in elevated CAPE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Gloomy and showery weather continues as more surface lows move
across the region through the end of the week, with this pattern
potentially continuing well into next week. However, there is
still some model signals that indicate that the weekend will
not be a washout.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Short Term...VFR conditions are expected today with with
westerly winds around 10 knots, possibly gusty at times. This
should keep the seabreeze away from coastal terminals today, but
it`s possible that it may briefly affect PWM and RKD late this
afternoon. Otherwise, VFR starting out tonight but conditions
later on across western NH will deteriorate in rain, with those
lower conditions (likely IFR) being widespread by mid morning to
early afternoon Wednesday and especially Wednesday night and
Thu. Isold thunder possible Wednesday, especially across
southern and western NH.

Long Term...
IFR to MVFR conditions are the most likely outcome Thu into the
weekend as the weather remains unsettled.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Conditions remain below SCA levels through
Wednesday.

Long Term...
Winds and seas are expected to stay below SCA criteria until Friday
morning, when northeasterly winds possibly pick up to 25 kts.
Wave heights increase Friday morning as well and possible SCA
seas and winds could continue into the weekend as well.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$


NEAR TERM...Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Ekster/Palmer