Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 230412
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1112 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018


.AVIATION...
VFR. Light northwest winds increasing between 13-15z with heating.
Expect CI to traverse the area first with a disturbance passing by
to the south tonight/early Monday then with one moving in from the
NW out of NM Monday late afternoon.
45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 953 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Current forecast/grids looks on track. No major changes planned at
this time. Will be keeping an eye out west as high clouds (and its
associated disturbance) moves across the Rio Grande. Not expecting
anything to come of it (given the dry airmass over the region) but
could give us a bit more cloud cover tomorrow. 41

PREV DISCUSSION...  /ISSUED 325 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018/

Beautiful weather is expected through the next couple of days in
the wake of last night`s cold front. Overcast skies have finally
pushed off to the east this afternoon, leaving behind sunny and
dry conditions across the area. High temperatures will gradually
increase from near 70 today to the low to mid 80s by Tuesday under
mostly sunny skies. Clouds and moisture will finally return on
Wednesday as winds become onshore for a period before the arrival
of the next cold front Wednesday afternoon. Some showers and a few
thunderstorms may be possible with this front Wednesday into
Wednesday night. This cold front doesn`t appear to be very strong-
only knocking high temperatures back down into the mid to upper
70s.

Models really begin to diverge heading into the second half of
the week. The GFS remains dry with high pressure settling into the
area in the wake of Wednesday`s cold front, while the ECMWF has
been trying to bring another shortwave through with some
precipitation on Friday. While this latest ECMWF run is a bit
drier than previous runs, the current forecast will maintain a 20
PoP on Friday to account for the uncertainty.

11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      52  78  56  83  59 /   0   0   0   0  10
Houston (IAH)              55  79  59  84  62 /   0   0   0   0  10
Galveston (GLS)            62  77  65  77  67 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...41
Aviation/Marine...45



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