Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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359
FNUS52 KILM 200749
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
349 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected much of
the upcoming week, as humid air of tropical origin remains
across the region. Rain chances will increase late Wednesday
into Thursday, as a cold front slowly crosses the coast. High
pressure to the north, may bring a brief drying trend Friday
and Saturday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate

NCZ105>110-210000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
349 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          82           68           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  6        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         SW  4        S  8
Precip amount         0.18         0.08         0.11
Precip duration       6            5            5
Inversion             76/1000      2200         76/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        66           100          67
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4800                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     SW 17
Ventilation rate      105600                    86700
ADI early             57 Gen good  53 Gen good  42 Gen good
ADI late              62 Good      3 Very poor  50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
349 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        70           30           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          83           68           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW  4        SW  7
Precip amount         0.16         0.04         0.12
Precip duration       5            1            5
Inversion             75/1000      2200         75/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        63           100          58
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5070                      6030
Transport wnd (mph)   S 14                      SW  9
Ventilation rate      70980                     54270
ADI early             30 Fair      43 Gen good  23 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  7 poor       34 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           5            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-210000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
349 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           40           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          82           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  6         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         S  3         S  8
Precip amount         0.24         0.05         0.09
Precip duration       5            3            5
Inversion             75/1000      2200         77/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        67           100          63
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4870                      5650
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      SW 10
Ventilation rate      73050                     56500
ADI early             41 Gen good  44 Gen good  31 Fair
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-210000-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
349 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          83           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  5         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S  3         S  7
Precip amount         0.16         0.05         0.09
Precip duration       5            2            5
Inversion             74/1000      2200         76/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        61           100          59
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5160                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      SW  8
Ventilation rate      41280                     47200
ADI early             26 Fair      36 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              30 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            10
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-210000-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
349 AM EDT Sun May 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           40           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          84           68           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  4         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         SW  3        SW  7
Precip amount         0.13         0.09         0.08
Precip duration       3            2            5
Inversion             75/1000      2200         75/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        59           100          55
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6000                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      S  8
Ventilation rate      30000                     50240
ADI early             17 Gen poor  26 Fair      20 Gen poor
ADI late              17 Gen poor  3 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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