Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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778
FNUS52 KILM 201901
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will slowly translate eastward over the weekend while
remaining well north of the area. A slow moving storm system will
then bring rain Monday that may last into the mid week period.

Fog potential for tonight...None.


NCZ105>110-211115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           67           43           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  3        E  4         E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  6         E  3         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         51/0900      2000         54/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           29           98           31
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5780                      5780
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     E  9
Ventilation rate                   34680                     52020
ADI early             32 Fair      40 Fair      24 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  36 Fair      2 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            8            3            8
Max LVORI late        8            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-211115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          38           68           43           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  3         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  4         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         49/0900      2000         52/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        95           27           95           31
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5670                      5860
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SE  9
Ventilation rate                   28350                     52740
ADI early             29 Fair      37 Fair      23 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  38 Fair      1 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            7            3            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-211115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           71           43           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  3        E  3         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         49/0900      2000         52/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        93           25           95           32
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5560                      6010
Transport wnd (mph)                E  3                      SE  9
Ventilation rate                   16680                     54090
ADI early             29 Fair      34 Fair      17 Gen poor  38 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  34 Fair      2 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            7            3            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-211115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           69           44           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         NE  4        SE  5        E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  8         E  4         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         52/0900      2000         56/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           31           95           41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5490                      5650
Transport wnd (mph)                E  9                      SE 16
Ventilation rate                   49410                     90400
ADI early             28 Fair      47 Gen good  37 Fair      61 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  45 Gen good  2 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       4            8            3            7
Max LVORI late        8            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-211115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           71           44           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  3        SE  4        E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  7         E  3         E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         50/0900      2000         54/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        95           26           94           39
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5520                      5890
Transport wnd (mph)                E  7                      SE 18
Ventilation rate                   38640                     106020
ADI early             28 Fair      51 Gen good  36 Fair      57 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  48 Gen good  2 Very poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       3            7            3            7
Max LVORI late        7            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-211115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           71           44           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NE  3        E  3         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         E  3         E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         49/0900      2000         52/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        88           25           91           35
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5600                      5960
Transport wnd (mph)                E  5                      SE 15
Ventilation rate                   28000                     89400
ADI early             29 Fair      40 Fair      24 Fair      43 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      2 Very poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            3            6
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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