Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
008 FNUS52 KILM 011222 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 822 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea breeze this afternoon. Dry high pressure will build in from the west later today into tonight then move overhead Thursday. A series of fronts will bring unsettled weather to the area this weekend, followed by drier weather early next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is High. NCZ105>110-020430- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 822 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 30 20 0 Precip Type Tstms Showers None LAL 3 3 1 Max/Min Temp 80 60 86 Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 45 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.08 0.03 0.00 Precip Duration 2 0 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 8 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 1900 72/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 6500 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SE 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42300 58500 ADI Early 32 Fair 26 Fair 23 Fair ADI Late 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 7 9 Max LVORI Late 2 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 1 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 1 Rain 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-020430- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 822 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 Precip Type Tstms None None LAL 3 3 1 Max/Min Temp 84 61 87 Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 35 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Precip End 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0800 1900 72/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 6700 Transport Wind (mph) W 8 E 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 53600 ADI Early 33 Fair 34 Fair 23 Fair ADI Late 50 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 61 Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 1 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-020430- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 822 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 30 30 0 Precip Type Tstms Tstms None LAL 3 3 1 Max/Min Temp 81 61 85 Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 47 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.08 0.03 0.00 Precip Duration 1 0 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing 8 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0800 2000 72/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 6400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SE 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 57600 ADI Early 29 Fair 26 Fair 24 Fair ADI Late 39 Fair 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 7 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 1 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-020430- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 822 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 Precip Type Tstms None None LAL 3 3 1 Max/Min Temp 83 61 88 Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 36 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 1 PM Precip End 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0800 2000 73/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6800 Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 E 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 61200 ADI Early 29 Fair 35 Fair 30 Fair ADI Late 53 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 2 9 1 Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 2 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Weiner