Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230807
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
407 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
An approaching storm system will bring wet weather the next day
or two, along with windy coastal conditions, dangerous surf, and
high beach tides. Easing winds and a warming trend will follow
into mid-week in wake of this system. Several lows emerging
from the Gulf states, will bring rain chances late Thursday into
Friday, and again Saturday. Drying and seasonable temperatures
are expected Sunday into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-240015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
407 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          70           60           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 11 G20     E 20 G32     SE 14 G26
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 17 G31     SE 17 G31    S 12
Precip amount         0.22         1.39         0.79
Precip duration       5            12           9
Inversion             66/1000      2100         68/1100
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        58           99           71
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6040                      4150
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 28                     S 30
Ventilation rate      169120                    124500
ADI early             87 Good      81 Good      56 Gen good
ADI late              109 Very good20 Gen poor  82 Good
Max LVORI early       5            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
407 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          70           59           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 10         E 18 G26     E 12 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 16 G24     E 15 G23     S 10
Precip amount         0.29         1.21         0.49
Precip duration       7            12           7
Inversion             65/1000      2100         68/1100
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        61           100          65
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5550                      4830
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 30                     S 29
Ventilation rate      166500                    140070
ADI early             92 Good      97 Good      38 Fair
ADI late              117 Very good20 Gen poor  104 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-240015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
407 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          90
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          69           61           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 12 G24     E 18 G31     SE 12
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 18 G31     SE 14 G24    S 11
Precip amount         0.59         1.48         0.28
Precip duration       9            12           4
Inversion             65/1000      2100         71/1100
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        66           100          61
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5170                      4830
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 33                     S 29
Ventilation rate      170610                    140070
ADI early             101 Very good59 Gen good  70 Good
ADI late              117 Very good21 Fair      81 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            7
Max LVORI late        4            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
407 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          69           60           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 11 G21     E 17 G26     SE 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 17 G25     E 12 G23     S 10
Precip amount         0.65         1.06         0.20
Precip duration       11           12           3
Inversion             63/1000      2100         71/1100
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        67           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4690                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 36                     S 21
Ventilation rate      168840                    131880
ADI early             103 Very good81 Good      55 Gen good
ADI late              119 Very good18 Gen poor  85 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            8
Max LVORI late        3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
407 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          80
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          67           59           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 11 G21     E 19 G26     E 12
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 16 G24     E 15 G23     S  9
Precip amount         0.57         0.85         0.24
Precip duration       11           12           6
Inversion             62/1100      2100         69/1100
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        69           100          58
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5040                      5730
Transport wnd (mph)   E 39                      S 20
Ventilation rate      196560                    114600
ADI early             75 Good      110 Very good31 Fair
ADI late              119 Very good18 Gen poor  77 Good
Max LVORI early       4            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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