Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 201231
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall near the area through Sunday keeping the
weather unsettled. High pressure builds Monday and Tuesday with a
return to dry conditions. Another cold front is due Thursday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-210445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 90
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 85 56 63
Min/Max RH (%) 53 88 74
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 NE 7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 NE 4 N 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.05 0.22 0.35
Precip Duration 1 2 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0800 1900 None
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 1900
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 41800
ADI Early 27 Fair 39 Fair 36 Fair
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 10 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-210445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 90
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 83 56 61
Min/Max RH (%) 49 81 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 NE 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 NE 4 N 11 G18
Precip Amount 0.03 0.17 0.36
Precip Duration 0 2 6
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 2000 59/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 1800
Transport Wind (mph) NW 13 N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 41400
ADI Early 27 Fair 38 Fair 31 Fair
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 10 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 3
Max LVORI Late 3 3 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-210445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 90
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 2
Max/Min Temp 86 57 63
Min/Max RH (%) 47 92 74
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 NE 4 N 10 G17
Precip Amount 0.03 0.33 0.29
Precip Duration 0 2 6
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 61/0600
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 2
DSI 3 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 2000
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88200 44000
ADI Early 36 Fair 31 Fair 30 Fair
ADI Late 70 Good 11 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 4
Max LVORI Late 1 5 4
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability A E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-210445-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 90
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
LAL 2 3 2
Max/Min Temp 87 57 61
Min/Max RH (%) 47 86 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 NE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 NE 4 N 10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.19 0.34
Precip Duration 2 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 2100
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91000 46200
ADI Early 37 Fair 40 Fair 32 Fair
ADI Late 96 Good 11 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 3
Max LVORI Late 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability A D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-210445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 90
Precip Type None Showers Showers
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 83 53 59
Min/Max RH (%) 48 74 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 5 NE 8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 NE 5 N 11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.37
Precip Duration 2 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 2000 55/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 2000
Transport Wind (mph) NW 13 N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70200 46000
ADI Early 30 Fair 40 Fair 34 Fair
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 3 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
34 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$