Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 201231
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall near the area through Sunday keeping the
weather unsettled. High pressure builds Monday and Tuesday with a
return to dry conditions. Another cold front is due Thursday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-210445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     30           40           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            1
Max/Min Temp          85           56           63
Min/Max RH (%)        53           88           74
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  4         NE  7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   W  6         NE  4        N 10 G18
Precip Amount         0.05         0.22         0.35
Precip Duration       1            2            5
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  67/0800      1900         None
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          3            3            2
DSI                   2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4900                      1900
Transport Wind (mph)  W 14                      N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    68600                     41800
ADI Early             27 Fair      39 Fair      36 Fair
ADI Late              54 Gen Good  10 Poor      41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       8            4            4
Max LVORI Late        2            4            4
Min VSBY Early        0 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       7            5 Rain
Turner Stability      B            D            C

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     20           30           90
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            2            1
Max/Min Temp          83           56           61
Min/Max RH (%)        49           81           60
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  4         NE  8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NW  6        NE  4        N 11 G18
Precip Amount         0.03         0.17         0.36
Precip Duration       0            2            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  69/0900      2000         59/0600
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          3            3            2
DSI                   2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4500                      1800
Transport Wind (mph)  NW 13                     N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    58500                     41400
ADI Early             27 Fair      38 Fair      31 Fair
ADI Late              51 Gen Good  10 Poor      42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            4            3
Max LVORI Late        3            3            3
Min VSBY Early        0 Rain       7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            5 Rain
Turner Stability      B            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-210445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   3            3            2
Max/Min Temp          86           57           63
Min/Max RH (%)        47           92           74
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   W  6         NE  4        N 10 G17
Precip Amount         0.03         0.33         0.29
Precip Duration       0            2            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  76/1000      1900         61/0600
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          4            3            2
DSI                   3                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6300                      2000
Transport Wind (mph)  W 14                      N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    88200                     44000
ADI Early             36 Fair      31 Fair      30 Fair
ADI Late              70 Good      11 Poor      42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       7            5            4
Max LVORI Late        1            5            4
Min VSBY Early        3 Rain       7            5 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            5 Rain
Turner Stability      A            E            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain near 100 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-210445-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           90
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Showers
LAL                   2            3            2
Max/Min Temp          87           57           61
Min/Max RH (%)        47           86           67
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      NW  4        NE  7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NW  6        NE  4        N 10
Precip Amount         0.00         0.19         0.34
Precip Duration                    2            7
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  72/0900      1900         57/0600
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          4            3            2
DSI                   2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6500                      2100
Transport Wind (mph)  W 14                      N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    91000                     46200
ADI Early             37 Fair      40 Fair      32 Fair
ADI Late              96 Good      11 Poor      42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       8            4            3
Max LVORI Late        1            4            3
Min VSBY Early        5 Fog        7            4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            5 Rain
Turner Stability      A            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-210445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
831 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     0            40           90
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   2            2            1
Max/Min Temp          83           53           59
Min/Max RH (%)        48           74           59
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      N  5         NE  8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NW  6        NE  5        N 11
Precip Amount         0.00         0.14         0.37
Precip Duration                    2            7
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  69/0900      2000         55/0600
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          3            3            2
DSI                   2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5400                      2000
Transport Wind (mph)  NW 13                     N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    70200                     46000
ADI Early             30 Fair      40 Fair      34 Fair
ADI Late              53 Gen Good  14 Gen Poor  44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       9            3            3
Max LVORI Late        2            3            3
Min VSBY Early        1 Fog        7            4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            5 Rain
Turner Stability      B            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
34 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


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