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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 241240
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
840 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Seasonable temperatures and breezy southwest winds are expected
today in advance of a cold front that will reach the area tonight.
Scattered showers are possible this evening. Behind the front, dry
weather is expected for Thursday through the weekend as high
pressure builds in from the north.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-250445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
840 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 0
Precip Type None Showers None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 55 78
Min/Max RH (%) 38 98 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 5 G18 N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G19 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 PM
Precip End 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 1900 62/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 7400
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 126000 88800
ADI Early 68 Good 47 Gen Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 87 Good 4 Very Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-250445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
840 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0
Precip Type None Showers None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 53 77
Min/Max RH (%) 35 96 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G19 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G19 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 7 PM
Precip End 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0900 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 6900
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 129600 62100
ADI Early 67 Good 43 Gen Good 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 123 Very Good4 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-250445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
840 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 0
Precip Type None Showers None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 56 78
Min/Max RH (%) 37 97 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 5 G18 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G19 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 PM
Precip End 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0900 1900 63/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 6900
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 127800 69000
ADI Early 72 Good 75 Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 127 Very Good4 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-250445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
840 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0
Precip Type None Showers None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 79 53 78
Min/Max RH (%) 36 96 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G18 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G18 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0900 1900 61/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 6700
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 131400 60300
ADI Early 76 Good 61 Good 38 Fair
ADI Late 118 Very Good4 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC