Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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586
FNUS52 KILM 270819
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda ridging extending across the region will get shunted
northward today. Subtropical Storm Alberto will lift slowly
north by northwest through the Gulf of Mexico today and
onshore during Monday. Deep tropical moisture will overspread
the area today and persist thru Tuesday. It`s during this
latter time frame that the more widespread and heaviest
rainfall will occur across the region.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High.

NCZ105>110-280030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        20           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          86           71           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         S  8         SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         SE  5        S  9
Precip amount         0.01         0.82         1.38
Precip duration       1            8            12
Inversion             77/0900      2000         75/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           98           80
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3800                      1940
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      SW 21
Ventilation rate      76000                     40740
ADI early             45 Gen good  37 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              51 Gen good  6 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.
Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-280030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        20           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          87           70           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  8         SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         SE  4        SE  7
Precip amount         0.02         1.00         1.49
Precip duration       1            7            12
Inversion             76/0900      2000         75/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           98           78
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4040                      2280
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      S 20
Ventilation rate      72720                     45600
ADI early             41 Gen good  36 Fair      32 Fair
ADI late              51 Gen good  5 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-280030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        20           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          87           71           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         S  9         SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         SE  5        SE  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.77         1.29
Precip duration       1            7            12
Inversion             76/0900      2000         75/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           97           76
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4170                      2460
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      S 15
Ventilation rate      70890                     36900
ADI early             29 Fair      36 Fair      29 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  6 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            5            7
Max LVORI late        1            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-280030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        40           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          85           71           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SE 10        SE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 11        SE  6        S 10
Precip amount         0.03         1.31         1.15
Precip duration       1            9            12
Inversion             77/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           99           78
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3690                      2480
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 17                     S 18
Ventilation rate      62730                     44640
ADI early             34 Fair      41 Gen good  34 Fair
ADI late              56 Gen good  7 poor       39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        3            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-280030-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        30           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          86           70           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SE  8        SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10        SE  5        SE  8
Precip amount         0.03         1.03         1.06
Precip duration       1            9            12
Inversion             76/0900      2000         76/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           100          75
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4010                      2770
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 16                     S 16
Ventilation rate      64160                     44320
ADI early             31 Fair      35 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  6 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            7            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-280030-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
419 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        20           100          100
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            5
Min/Max Temp          87           70           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SE  8        SE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  9         SE  5        SE  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.76         1.01
Precip duration       1            8            12
Inversion             74/0900      2000         75/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        51           100          74
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4090                      2810
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      S 12
Ventilation rate      61350                     33720
ADI early             33 Fair      33 Fair      9 poor
ADI late              44 Gen good  6 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in
the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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