Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 240755
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
355 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Wet and windy conditions will prevail today as a storm system
impacts the region. Hazardous surf and minor coastal flooding
can also be expected through tonight. Drying and warming will
follow Wednesday in wake of the exiting system. Weak waves of
low pressure will bring isolated showers Thursday night through
Saturday, with mild, seasonable temperatures. High pressure is
expected to bring dry conditions, with highs in the 70s Sunday
through early next week.


Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
355 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          78           60           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 15 G29    S  8         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 12         SW  4        SW 10
Precip amount         0.78         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       8            0
Inversion             69/1100      2000         69/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        61           91           48
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4710                      7780
Transport wnd (mph)   S 31                      W 17
Ventilation rate      146010                    132260
ADI early             89 Good      66 Good      74 Good
ADI late              97 Good      5 Very poor  82 Good
Max LVORI early       4            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-250000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
355 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          79           58           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 12        S  7         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10        SW  4        W  9
Precip amount         0.41         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       7            1
Inversion             68/1100      2000         68/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           93           46
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6370                      7660
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      W 17
Ventilation rate      152880                    130220
ADI early             69 Good      72 Good      69 Good
ADI late              81 Good      4 Very poor  79 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-250000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
355 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          79           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 11 G21    S  7         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S 10         SW  5        W 10
Precip amount         0.24         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       4
Inversion             71/1100      2000         69/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           88           47
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6110                      7740
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     W 16
Ventilation rate      122200                    123840
ADI early             66 Good      61 Good      76 Good
ADI late              74 Good      4 Very poor  80 Good
Max LVORI early       5            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
355 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        80           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          80           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        SW  6        W  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW  5        W 10
Precip amount         0.19         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             69/1100      2000         68/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           90           44
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7160                      7620
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 15
Ventilation rate      107400                    114300
ADI early             39 Fair      75 Good      67 Good
ADI late              75 Good      4 Very poor  74 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
355 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        90           40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          79           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 10        SW  6        W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  8         SW  5        W  9
Precip amount         0.23         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       4            1
Inversion             67/1100      2000         67/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           94           44
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7310                      7890
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     W 16
Ventilation rate      116960                    126240
ADI early             21 Fair      78 Good      60 Gen good
ADI late              78 Good      4 Very poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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