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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 181859
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will increase on Friday as a cold front moves across
the area. The front stalls in the area for the weekend,
maintaining elevated rain chances. High pressure next week leads
to drying conditions once more.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-191100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 30
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 1 2 1
Min/Max Temp 58 82 61 83
Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 98 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 Lgt/Var NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 63/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41600
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 27 Fair 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 35 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-191100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 60 85 62 83
Max/Min RH (%) 94 47 98 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/1100
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 6 4 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400
ADI Early 78 Good 26 Fair 28 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 64 Good 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 6 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
50. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-191100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 20 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 2
Min/Max Temp 61 85 63 84
Max/Min RH (%) 96 49 96 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/1100
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72800
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 26 Fair 24 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 62 Good 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 7 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 88 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-191100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 2
Min/Max Temp 60 86 62 84
Max/Min RH (%) 95 48 97 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91000
ADI Early 62 Good 28 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 97 Good 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 7 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-191100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
259 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 40 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 1 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 61 86 62 82
Max/Min RH (%) 91 47 98 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 6 4 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91500
ADI Early 63 Good 23 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 88 Good 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3
Max LVORI Late 5 1 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50.
Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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