Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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760
FNUS52 KILM 021931
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
331 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Light winds under high pressure should allow fog to develop again
tonight into early Friday morning. High pressure will move offshore
this weekend with humid air feeding onshore on southerly winds. A
series of fronts will bring increased potential for showers or storms
Saturday through Monday, followed by drier weather next week.

Fog potential for tonight is High.

NCZ105>110-031145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
331 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          60           86           62           82
Max/Min RH (%)        100          44           100          55
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      SE  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         69/0900      2000         69/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            5            5            4
DSI                                3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5700                      4600
Transport Wind (mph)               S 10                      S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 57000                     64400
ADI Early             34 Fair      23 Fair      35 Fair      39 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       6            9            6            9
Max LVORI Late        9            2            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            0 Fog        7
Min VSBY Late         0 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-031145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
331 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          61           87           63           83
Max/Min RH (%)        100          37           100          54
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         Lgt/Var      S  6         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S  4         Lgt/Var      S  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         68/0900      2000         67/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6600                      4400
Transport Wind (mph)               S  9                      S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 59400                     61600
ADI Early             57 Gen Good  22 Fair      59 Gen Good  40 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  63 Good      6 Very Poor  51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       5            9            6            9
Max LVORI Late        9            2            9            1
Min VSBY Early        7            0 Fog        7
Min VSBY Late         0 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-031145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
331 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          61           85           63           82
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           100          60
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE  5        Lgt/Var      SE  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                              1
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         68/0900      2000         69/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5500                      4200
Transport Wind (mph)               SE 10                     S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 55000                     58800
ADI Early             37 Fair      22 Fair      42 Gen Good  40 Fair
ADI Late              4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       7            9            7            9
Max LVORI Late        9            3            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            0 Fog        7
Min VSBY Late         0 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-031145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
331 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip Type           None         None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            3
Min/Max Temp          60           87           63           82
Max/Min RH (%)        100          39           100          59
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         Lgt/Var      SE  5        Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S  4         Lgt/Var      S  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration                                              2
Precip Begin                                                 8 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         64/0800      2000         67/0800
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
DSI                                3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6700                      4200
Transport Wind (mph)               S  8                      S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 53600                     54600
ADI Early             57 Gen Good  21 Fair      57 Gen Good  40 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  63 Good      6 Very Poor  48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       5            9            5            9
Max LVORI Late        9            2            9            2
Min VSBY Early        7            1 Fog        7
Min VSBY Late         1 Fog        7            7
Turner Stability      F            A            E            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$