Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 150714
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
314 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Warmer but quite dry on Monday with minimum RH values of 20-25%.
Much of the upcoming week remains unseasonably warm and rain-free.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-152315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
314 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          88           61           90
Min/Max RH (%)        24           83           34
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  5        SW  7 G17    SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  8 G18    SW  5        SW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  72/1000      1900         70/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          6            5            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6900                      6300
Transport Wind (mph)  SW 17                     SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    117300                    75600
ADI Early             29 Fair      39 Fair      25 Fair
ADI Late              108 Very Good8 Poor       66 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-152315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
314 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          88           61           90
Min/Max RH (%)        22           80           32
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  4        SW  5        Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  7 G17    SW  4        SW  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  73/1000      1900         75/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          6            5            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7300                      5800
Transport Wind (mph)  W 21                      SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    153300                    75400
ADI Early             31 Fair      86 Good      21 Fair
ADI Late              146 Very Good7 Poor       77 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-152315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
314 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          88           60           90
Min/Max RH (%)        23           83           30
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SW  4        SW  6 G17    Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  7 G18    SW  4        SW  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  73/1000      1900         74/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          6            5            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7100                      5500
Transport Wind (mph)  SW 20                     W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    142000                    77000
ADI Early             38 Fair      55 Gen Good  27 Fair
ADI Late              129 Very Good7 Poor       79 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-152315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
314 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          88           59           89
Min/Max RH (%)        23           80           30
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  W  4         SW  5        Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SW  7        SW  4        SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  74/1000      1900         74/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          6            5            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7100                      5300
Transport Wind (mph)  W 21                      W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    149100                    74200
ADI Early             42 Gen Good  92 Good      22 Fair
ADI Late              150 Very Good7 Poor       81 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...VAO


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