Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210729
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
329 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will become more
numerous mid week as a cold front sags into the area from the
north before slowly dissipating Friday. The upcoming holiday
weekend looks unsettled as a tropical airmass brings the likelihood
for thunderstorms and possibly more heavy rain.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-212330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
329 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          85           68           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        S  6         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        S  3         S  8
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.05
Precip duration       1            0            1
Inversion             76/0900      2100         73/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        59           99           58
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3960                      4670
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14                     SW 13
Ventilation rate      55440                     60710
ADI early             27 Fair      42 Gen good  39 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      3 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
thunderstorms and showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-212330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
329 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          86           68           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        S  6         S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        S  3         S  8
Precip amount         0.07         0.02         0.10
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             74/0900      2100         71/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          57
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4540                      5210
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     S 14
Ventilation rate      54480                     72940
ADI early             27 Fair      36 Fair      35 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      3 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and showers likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
thunderstorms and showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-212330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
329 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            40
Precip type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Min/Max Temp          85           67           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         S  3         S  9
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.12
Precip duration       1                         2
Inversion             75/0900      2100         72/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        56           100          62
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4040                      4930
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      S 15
Ventilation rate      52520                     73950
ADI early             24 Fair      40 Fair      31 Fair
ADI late              38 Fair      3 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and showers likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
thunderstorms and showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-212330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
329 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           50
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          86           67           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  5         S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S  3         S  7
Precip amount         0.06         0.03         0.14
Precip duration       1            1            2
Inversion             73/0900      2100         71/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        51           100          59
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4570                      5330
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      S 13
Ventilation rate      45700                     69290
ADI early             27 Fair      32 Fair      30 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and showers likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
thunderstorms and showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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