Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 171911
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures above normal will continue through Friday. A few
light showers are possible tonight. Rain chances will increase on
Friday as a cold front moves across the area. The front stalls in
the area for the weekend, maintaining elevated rain chances.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-181115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 10 0 0 20
Precip Type Showers None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 64 88 59 85
Max/Min RH (%) 90 33 100 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G17 SW 5 SW 4 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 W 6 Lgt/Var SE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 7 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 66/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7800 3900
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 124800 54600
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 61 Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 109 Very Good5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 9
Max LVORI Late 4 1 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 0 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-181115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 30
Precip Type Showers None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 64 88 60 89
Max/Min RH (%) 88 30 98 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 W 4 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 7 PM 2 PM
Precip End 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7800 4300
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109200 60200
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 87 Good 30 Fair
ADI Late 12 Poor 119 Very Good3 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 7
Max LVORI Late 4 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F A
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 0 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-181115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 64 88 61 89
Max/Min RH (%) 88 29 89 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 8 W 5 Lgt/Var SE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 W 5 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 6 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7600 5200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 14 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 106400 72800
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 80 Good 34 Fair
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 109 Very Good3 Very Poor 78 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 0 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 64 87 61 88
Max/Min RH (%) 92 37 99 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G17 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 W 5 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 13 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96200 72800
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 35 Fair 59 Gen Good 30 Fair
ADI Late 12 Poor 97 Good 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 8
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 0 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-181115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 63 87 60 89
Max/Min RH (%) 90 34 97 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 W 4 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 6700
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87600 93800
ADI Early 66 Good 37 Fair 75 Good 37 Fair
ADI Late 12 Poor 94 Good 5 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 7
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 0 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-181115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
311 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 63 88 61 89
Max/Min RH (%) 91 30 91 36
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 W 4 Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 6 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 6200
Transport Wind (mph) NW 12 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 90000 93000
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 33 Fair 73 Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 96 Good 3 Very Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 79 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 0 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS