Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 241913
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Weak low pressure will move across the area this evening bringing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. An upper level low
will produce showers on Wednesday. Weak cold front early Thursday
and again Saturday will bring a chance for more showers. Seasonable
temperatures are expected through the week and into the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Low inland, moderate at the coast.

NCZ105>110-251115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         Showers
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           76           55           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         SW  6        W  6         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  9        NW  3        SE  5
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1                         0
Inversion             2000         64/0900      2000         65/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           51           94           47
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5900                      5340
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      S 13
Ventilation rate                   82600                     69420
ADI early             66 Good      36 Fair      42 Gen good  8 poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  62 Good      3 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            7
Max LVORI late        9            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-251115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           20           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         Showers
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           77           55           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  7         SW  7        W  6         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        W  8         NW  3        S  5
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.03
Precip duration       1            1                         0
Inversion             2000         62/0900      2000         64/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           48           93           45
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6140                      5780
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      S 12
Ventilation rate                   79820                     69360
ADI early             72 Good      35 Fair      43 Gen good  8 poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  61 Good      3 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            4            7
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-251115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           78           56           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  8         W  7         W  6         NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W  9         NW  4        SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         63/0900      2000         66/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           49           92           49
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6550                      5520
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      S 13
Ventilation rate                   85150                     71760
ADI early             61 Good      36 Fair      43 Gen good  15 Gen poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  59 Gen good  3 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-251115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           78           55           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        W  7         W  6         NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        W  9         NW  3        SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              0
Inversion             2000         62/0900      2000         65/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          47           93           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6780                      5640
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      S 10
Ventilation rate                   94920                     56400
ADI early             75 Good      35 Fair      45 Gen good  17 Gen poor
ADI late              7 poor       62 Good      3 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-251115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
313 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      None         Showers
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           78           55           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        W  7         NW  6        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W  8         N  4         S  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip duration       0            1                         0
Inversion             2000         61/0900      2000         64/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           46           91           45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6880                      5810
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      S 10
Ventilation rate                   89440                     58100
ADI early             78 Good      33 Fair      46 Gen good  15 Gen poor
ADI late              6 Very poor  59 Gen good  4 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

17



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