Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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102
FNUS52 KILM 211844
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to ridge in from the north through
Sunday. A slow moving storm system will affect the area Monday
into Tuesday with periods of moderate to heavy rain possible and
breezy conditions. Drier weather is likely the latter half of
the upcoming week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-221045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           80
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           70           52           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        E  4         E  7         E 11 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  9         E  6         E 16 G23
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13
Precip duration                                 0            4
Inversion             1900         62/1000      2000         65/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           31           86           52
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5070                      3740
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     SE 35
Ventilation rate                   65910                     130900
ADI early             21 Fair      44 Gen good  49 Gen good  63 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  50 Gen good  8 poor       85 Good
Max LVORI early       4            8            3            4
Max LVORI late        8            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southeast
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-221045-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           80
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           71           52           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        E  3         E  6         E  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  7         E  6         E 14 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19
Precip duration                                 1            5
Inversion             1900         61/1000      2000         63/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        95           30           87           53
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5380                      3420
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SE 28
Ventilation rate                   64560                     95760
ADI early             21 Fair      43 Gen good  40 Fair      60 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  51 Gen good  6 Very poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            3            4
Max LVORI late        7            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-221045-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            40           80
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          44           72           51           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  3        E  4         SE  7        E 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  8         E  7         E 14 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.24
Precip duration                                 1            7
Inversion             1900         61/1000      2000         62/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        89           30           83           54
DSI                                4                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5590                      3320
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SE 26
Ventilation rate                   67080                     86320
ADI early             17 Gen poor  42 Gen good  36 Fair      59 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  47 Gen good  9 poor       72 Good
Max LVORI early       3            7            3            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-221045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            70           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           71           54           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  6         E  9         E 13 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E 10         E  9         E 18 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.45
Precip duration                                 1            12
Inversion             1900         63/1000      2000         63/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        99           40           91           64
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4890                      2830
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 17                     SE 31
Ventilation rate                   83130                     87730
ADI early             33 Fair      50 Gen good  44 Gen good  64 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  52 Gen good  10 poor      67 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            4            5
Max LVORI late        7            1            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southeast winds
20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-221045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            70           100
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           72           54           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        E  5         E  8         E 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  9         E  8         E 16 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.56
Precip duration                                 2            12
Inversion             1900         62/1000      2000         62/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        96           36           92           66
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5170                      2630
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     E 30
Ventilation rate                   82720                     78900
ADI early             34 Fair      54 Gen good  46 Gen good  50 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  62 Good      9 poor       64 Good
Max LVORI early       3            7            4            5
Max LVORI late        7            1            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-221045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
244 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           72           52           66
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  4        E  4         SE  7        E 11
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  8         E  7         E 14 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.41
Precip duration                                 1            11
Inversion             1900         60/1000      2000         60/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Good
Max/Min RH (%)        89           32           85           60
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          5            5            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5520                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     E 30
Ventilation rate                   71760                     87000
ADI early             23 Fair      48 Gen good  42 Gen good  53 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  54 Gen good  9 poor       67 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            3            4
Max LVORI late        5            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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