Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 211920
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
320 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will become more
numerous mid week as a cold front sags into the area from the
north before slowly dissipating Friday. The upcoming holiday
weekend looks unsettled as a tropical airmass brings the likelihood
for thunderstorms and possibly more heavy rain.

Fog potential for tonight...moderate.

NCZ105>110-221130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
320 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           30           60
Precip type           None         Showers      Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            4
Min/Max Temp          66           84           69           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  3        SW  7        W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.06         0.12
Precip duration                    1            2            2
Inversion             2100         75/0900      2100         76/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          55           96           61
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4360                      3690
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 18
Ventilation rate                   52320                     66420
ADI early             42 Gen good  25 Fair      38 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  46 Gen good  14 Gen poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
320 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           30           30           60
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3            4
Min/Max Temp          66           85           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  3        S  8         SW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  6        SW  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.07         0.13
Precip duration       1            1            2            4
Inversion             2100         73/0900      2100         74/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           97           59
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4790                      4120
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     S 18
Ventilation rate                   57480                     74160
ADI early             36 Fair      29 Fair      42 Gen good  41 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  44 Gen good  17 Gen poor  51 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-221130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
320 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            4
Min/Max Temp          66           84           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  3         S  8         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SW  5        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.08         0.13
Precip duration                    2            2            5
Inversion             2100         74/0900      2100         75/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           98           60
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4470                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      S 18
Ventilation rate                   44700                     68400
ADI early             40 Fair      19 Gen poor  37 Fair      39 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  37 Fair      15 Gen poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           3            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
320 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           40           30           60
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3            4
Min/Max Temp          66           84           67           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  3         S  7         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW  5        SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.09         0.13
Precip duration       1            2            2            5
Inversion             2100         73/0900      2100         73/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           99           59
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4850                      4180
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     S 16
Ventilation rate                   43650                     66880
ADI early             32 Fair      18 Gen poor  37 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  36 Fair      14 Gen poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            6
Max LVORI late        10           2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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