Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 232002
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
402 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
An approaching storm system will bring 1 to 3 inches of rain tonight
into Tuesday along with windy conditions. Easing winds and a warming
trend will follow Tuesday and Wednesday in wake of this system.
Another low pressure emerging from the Gulf states, will bring rain
chances Thursday into Friday. Drying and seasonable temperatures are
expected Saturday into early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...NONE.

NCZ105>110-241215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
402 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          58           75           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 18 G34     SE 15 G30    S  8 G21     SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 18 G34    S 12 G23     SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         1.42         0.94         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       11           6            1
Inversion             1800         66/1000      2000         64/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          65           100          44
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2850                      6130
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      W 18
Ventilation rate                   51300                     110340
ADI early             81 Good      33 Fair      35 Fair      73 Good
ADI late              24 Fair      40 Fair      4 Very poor  86 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            9            10
Max LVORI late        5            3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-241215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
402 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          100          30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          58           75           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 17 G29     SE 12 G24    S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 16 G29     SE 10 G21    SW  3        W  8
Precip amount         1.27         0.51         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       11           5            1
Inversion             1800         66/1100      2000         63/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          63           99           44
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4010                      6250
Transport wnd (mph)                S 17                      W 20
Ventilation rate                   68170                     125000
ADI early             97 Good      26 Fair      35 Fair      67 Good
ADI late              21 Fair      44 Gen good  3 Very poor  88 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            7            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-241215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
402 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          90           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           76           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 18 G33    SE 12 G24    S  7 G21     W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 16 G31    S 11 G22     SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         1.47         0.26         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       12           4
Inversion             1800         66/1000      2000         64/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          59           98           45
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            5            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4690                      6280
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     W 16
Ventilation rate                   70350                     100480
ADI early             59 Gen good  23 Fair      33 Fair      66 Good
ADI late              22 Fair      48 Gen good  3 Very poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            9
Max LVORI late        5            3            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-241215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
402 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          90           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           77           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 16 G30     SE 10 G22    SW  5        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 14 G27    S  9 G20     SW  3        W  7
Precip amount         1.23         0.18         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       12           3
Inversion             1800         66/1000      2000         63/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           99           41
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          2            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5450                      6300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     W 16
Ventilation rate                   87200                     100800
ADI early             81 Good      33 Fair      50 Gen good  54 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  67 Good      2 Very poor  74 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            9
Max LVORI late        5            2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-241215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
402 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          90           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      None
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          58           76           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 16 G30     SE 10 G22    SW  5        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E 14 G26     S  9 G20     SW  3        W  7
Precip amount         0.98         0.20         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       12           5            1
Inversion             1800         66/1100      2000         63/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           98           39
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          2            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5340                      6810
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     W 17
Ventilation rate                   85440                     115770
ADI early             110 Very good23 Fair      36 Fair      55 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  49 Gen good  3 Very poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            5            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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