Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 260718
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
318 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure will build in through early this
week with a return to more seasonable temperatures today. Rain
chances will return with the next cold front Wednesday into
Thursday. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold front
into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-262330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
318 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            50
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Max/Min Temp          70           50           73
Min/Max RH (%)        48           98           67
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  4        SE  4        SE  5
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   E  4         SE  5        SE  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.22
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Begin                                    7 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  45/0900      1900         62/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          4            3            2
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2600                      2100
Transport Wind (mph)  SE  9                     S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    23400                     35700
ADI Early             15 Gen Poor  19 Gen Poor  31 Fair
ADI Late              25 Fair      11 Poor      32 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        2            6            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Colder.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-262330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
318 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            70
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Max/Min Temp          70           52           72
Min/Max RH (%)        40           98           71
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  4        SE  5        SE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SE  4        SE  6        S  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.35
Precip Duration                                 5
Precip Begin                                    6 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  44/0900      2000         63/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          4            3            3
DSI                   2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3200                      1800
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 14                     S 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    44800                     36000
ADI Early             18 Gen Poor  38 Fair      29 Fair
ADI Late              46 Gen Good  12 Poor      34 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            6
Max LVORI Late        2            5            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            4 Rain
Turner Stability      B            D            D

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 77 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-262330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
318 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            60
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2
Max/Min Temp          69           55           73
Min/Max RH (%)        58           98           75
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  E  5         SE  6        SE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   E  6         SE  6        S  7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.28
Precip Duration                                 5
Precip Begin                                    6 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  50/0900      2000         64/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          4            3            3
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       2500                      1900
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 16                     S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    40000                     34200
ADI Early             28 Fair      29 Fair      28 Fair
ADI Late              38 Fair      12 Poor      33 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            6
Max LVORI Late        3            5            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            4 Rain
Turner Stability      C            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 79 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-262330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
318 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            30           80
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Max/Min Temp          69           55           73
Min/Max RH (%)        52           100          76
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  E  5         SE  7        SE  6
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SE  7        SE  6        S  6
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.35
Precip Duration                    1            9
Precip Begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  48/0900      2100         65/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Haines Index          3            3            3
DSI                   1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3300                      1900
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 18                     S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    59400                     28500
ADI Early             21 Fair      42 Gen Good  27 Fair
ADI Late              46 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            6
Max LVORI Late        2            6            4
Min VSBY Early        7            7            5 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            6 Rain       3 Rain
Turner Stability      C            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...Boatman


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