Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 221941
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving low pressure system will cross the Southeastern U.S.
and produce beneficial rains of 2 to 4 inches over a 2 day period
from Monday thru Tuesday. Temperatures below normal thru Tuesday will
bounce back to near normal mid week with the threat for additional
rainfall Thu into Fri from the next low pressure system. High
pressure should return on Fri.

Fog potential for tonight...None to Low.

NCZ105>110-231145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            90           100          90
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          51           68           57           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 10         E 11 G23     E 16 G35     SE 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         SE 17 G34    SE 16 G32    S 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.20         1.43         1.01
Precip duration                    5            12           9
Inversion             1900         65/1000      2000         66/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        94           58           98           66
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4230                      3950
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 38                     SW 20
Ventilation rate                   160740                    79000
ADI early             47 Gen good  76 Good      90 Good      15 Gen poor
ADI late              8 poor       100 Good     16 Gen poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            3            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-231145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           90           100          90
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          52           69           57           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        E 10 G20     E 14 G25     E 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         E 14 G23     E 12 G25     S  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.26         1.62         0.71
Precip duration       0            6            12           8
Inversion             1900         65/1000      2000         65/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        96           58           98           66
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3990                      3950
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 39                     S 12
Ventilation rate                   155610                    47400
ADI early             38 Fair      74 Good      97 Good      12 poor
ADI late              7 poor       105 Very good13 Gen poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            7
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-231145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           90           100          80
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          52           68           57           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  9        E 11 G20     E 17 G29     E 12 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  8         E 14 G22     E 15 G26     S  7
Precip amount         0.01         0.31         1.61         0.54
Precip duration       0            7            12           7
Inversion             1900         63/1000      2000         64/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        92           58           99           64
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3840                      4170
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 39                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   149760                    54210
ADI early             36 Fair      63 Good      92 Good      20 Gen poor
ADI late              9 poor       101 Very good16 Gen poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            4            6
Max LVORI late        5            2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-231145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           100          100          70
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          55           68           60           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 11         SE 14 G30    SE 16 G32    S  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  9         SE 17 G33    S 11 G26     SW  9
Precip amount         0.02         0.65         2.07         0.41
Precip duration       1            9            12           3
Inversion             1900         64/1000      2000         68/1000
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        97           68           100          62
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2630                      4270
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 36                     SW 15
Ventilation rate                   94680                     64050
ADI early             44 Gen good  65 Good      68 Good      14 Gen poor
ADI late              10 poor      77 Good      11 poor      42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        5            4            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           100          100          70
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          55           67           59           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  9         E 13 G22     E 14 G27     SE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  8         SE 15 G24    E  8         SW  7
Precip amount         0.04         0.78         1.72         0.30
Precip duration       1            10           12           3
Inversion             1900         62/1000      2000         67/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        98           69           100          57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2390                      4410
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 36                     SW 15
Ventilation rate                   86040                     66150
ADI early             46 Gen good  52 Gen good  67 Good      10 poor
ADI late              9 poor       76 Good      10 poor      47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            4            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           90           100          70
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          53           68           58           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  9        E 13 G21     E 16 G29     E  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  9         E 14 G23     E 12 G24     S  7
Precip amount         0.03         0.56         1.31         0.33
Precip duration       1            9            12           5
Inversion             1900         61/1000      2000         65/1000
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        93           65           99           60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2930                      4750
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 37                     SW 13
Ventilation rate                   108410                    61750
ADI early             42 Gen good  46 Gen good  76 Good      19 Gen poor
ADI late              10 poor      83 Good      14 Gen poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            4            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

RGZ



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