Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 251915
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
315 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will approach the area Thursday and push a cold front
off the coast Thursday night. Another weak surface trough will
move across the area late Friday night and early Saturday, followed
by high pressure, which will build across the area through early
next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-261115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
315 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            60           40
Precip type           Showers      None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          55           78           57           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  6         N  3         S  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.03
Precip duration       0                         2            1
Inversion             2100         71/1100      2000         64/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           47           100          45
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6780                      7210
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 22
Ventilation rate                   94920                     158620
ADI early             44 Gen good  29 Fair      32 Fair      69 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  50 Gen good  6 Very poor  99 Good
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            9
Max LVORI late        10           1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-261115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
315 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          55           77           56           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         NE  4        S  5         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        S  5         S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.03
Precip duration                                 3            1
Inversion             2100         70/1100      2000         63/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           45           100          46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6520                      6910
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW 17
Ventilation rate                   65200                     117470
ADI early             68 Good      19 Gen poor  28 Fair      75 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  41 Gen good  4 Very poor  104 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            9
Max LVORI late        7            2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 37 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-261115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
315 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           40
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          56           77           55           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         NE  4        S  7         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01
Precip duration                                 2            1
Inversion             2100         71/1100      2000         64/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        98           48           100          45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6590                      6940
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW 20
Ventilation rate                   85670                     138800
ADI early             50 Gen good  27 Fair      32 Fair      85 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  46 Gen good  5 Very poor  93 Good
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            1            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-261115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
315 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           30
Precip type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          55           77           53           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  5         NE  5        S  6         SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        S  6         S  4         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.01
Precip duration                                 2            1
Inversion             2100         71/1100      2000         61/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           45           100          43
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6500                      6840
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      SW 16
Ventilation rate                   58500                     109440
ADI early             59 Gen good  21 Fair      24 Fair      83 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  33 Fair      4 Very poor  99 Good
Max LVORI early       4            9            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-261115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
315 PM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           70           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3            2
Min/Max Temp          55           77           55           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  5        NE  5        SE  5        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  3        SE  5        S  4         W  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.21         0.03
Precip duration                    0            4            1
Inversion             2100         69/1100      2000         61/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           43           100          45
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6610                      6970
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      W 14
Ventilation rate                   59490                     97580
ADI early             71 Good      18 Gen poor  23 Fair      70 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  31 Fair      4 Very poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 89 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

33



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