Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 171929
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
329 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move from the Gulf of Mexico to Atlantic on
Wednesday, and warm southwesterly flow will develop across the
area. A dry cold front will move across the area Thursday
night, followed by high pressure Friday and Saturday. A low
pressure system will move across the Gulf Coast states and bring
increasing chances of rain late Sunday into early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-181130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
329 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           81           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6 G21    SW  5        SW 13 G27    SW 13 G25
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 13 G27    SW 13 G22    W 17 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         63/1000      2000         63/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        96           31           78           31
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5170                      7420
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 26
Ventilation rate                   87890                     192920
ADI early             41 Gen good  24 Fair      41 Gen good  86 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  62 Good      13 Gen poor  106 Very good
Max LVORI early       5            7            3            4
Max LVORI late        7            1            4            1

Remarks...Increased fire danger Wednesday and Thursday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 69 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-181130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
329 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          46           82           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6 G24    SW  6        SW 13 G30    SW 13 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW 15 G31    SW 12        W 17 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         62/1000      2000         64/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        96           28           76           29
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4720                      7100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 30
Ventilation rate                   80240                     213000
ADI early             46 Gen good  43 Gen good  57 Gen good  106 Very good
ADI late              3 Very poor  77 Good      12 poor      110 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            7            2            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            3            1

Remarks...Increased fire danger Wednesday and Thursday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 67 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-181130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
329 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           83           58           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7 G21    SW  6        SW 13 G29    SW 12 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW 15 G30    SW 12        W 17 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         65/1000      2000         63/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        90           25           79           30
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4460                      7030
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      W 28
Ventilation rate                   98120                     196840
ADI early             42 Gen good  35 Fair      48 Gen good  86 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  71 Good      12 poor      94 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            2            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            3            1

Remarks...Increased fire danger Wednesday and Thursday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-181130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
329 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           83           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6 G21    SW  6        SW 12 G27    SW 12 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW 15 G29    SW 12        W 17 G27
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         64/1000      2000         63/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        91           26           80           28
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4400                      6840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 28                     W 25
Ventilation rate                   123200                    171000
ADI early             46 Gen good  47 Gen good  57 Gen good  89 Good
ADI late              3 Very poor  81 Good      12 poor      98 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            2            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            4            1

Remarks...Increased fire danger Wednesday and Thursday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
69 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 24 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 65 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 37 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-181130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
329 PM EDT Tue Apr 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           83           59           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7 G21    SW  6        SW 13 G27    SW 13 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW 16 G29    SW 12        W 16 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2000         64/1000      2000         62/0800
Dispersion            Fair                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        95           27           77           27
DSI                                3                         4
Haines Index          3            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4490                      6820
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 28                     W 24
Ventilation rate                   125720                    163680
ADI early             46 Gen good  46 Gen good  57 Gen good  101 Very good
ADI late              3 Very poor  80 Good      12 poor      101 Very good
Max LVORI early       3            6            2            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            3            1

Remarks...Increased fire danger Wednesday and Thursday.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
68 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 65 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 25 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
72 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
33 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III


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