Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 221941
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
.DISCUSSION...
A slow moving low pressure system will cross the Southeastern U.S.
and produce beneficial rains of 2 to 4 inches over a 2 day period
from Monday thru Tuesday. Temperatures below normal thru Tuesday will
bounce back to near normal mid week with the threat for additional
rainfall Thu into Fri from the next low pressure system. High
pressure should return on Fri.
Fog potential for tonight...None to Low.
NCZ105>110-231145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 0 90 100 90
Precip type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 51 68 57 74
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 10 E 11 G23 E 16 G35 SE 10 G22
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 7 SE 17 G34 SE 16 G32 S 10
Precip amount 0.00 0.20 1.43 1.01
Precip duration 5 12 9
Inversion 1900 65/1000 2000 66/1000
Dispersion Fair Excellent
Max/Min RH (%) 94 58 98 66
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 5 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4230 3950
Transport wnd (mph) SE 38 SW 20
Ventilation rate 160740 79000
ADI early 47 Gen good 76 Good 90 Good 15 Gen poor
ADI late 8 poor 100 Good 16 Gen poor 67 Good
Max LVORI early 3 6 5 5
Max LVORI late 6 3 5 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-231145-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount MCldy MCldy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 30 90 100 90
Precip type Rain Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 52 69 57 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 8 E 10 G20 E 14 G25 E 10 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 6 E 14 G23 E 12 G25 S 8
Precip amount 0.01 0.26 1.62 0.71
Precip duration 0 6 12 8
Inversion 1900 65/1000 2000 65/1000
Dispersion Fair Excellent
Max/Min RH (%) 96 58 98 66
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3990 3950
Transport wnd (mph) SE 39 S 12
Ventilation rate 155610 47400
ADI early 38 Fair 74 Good 97 Good 12 poor
ADI late 7 poor 105 Very good13 Gen poor 44 Gen good
Max LVORI early 3 6 5 7
Max LVORI late 5 2 6 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-231145-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 30 90 100 80
Precip type Rain Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 52 68 57 75
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 9 E 11 G20 E 17 G29 E 12 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 8 E 14 G22 E 15 G26 S 7
Precip amount 0.01 0.31 1.61 0.54
Precip duration 0 7 12 7
Inversion 1900 63/1000 2000 64/1000
Dispersion Good Excellent
Max/Min RH (%) 92 58 99 64
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 4 3 2 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3840 4170
Transport wnd (mph) SE 39 SW 13
Ventilation rate 149760 54210
ADI early 36 Fair 63 Good 92 Good 20 Gen poor
ADI late 9 poor 101 Very good16 Gen poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 5 4 6
Max LVORI late 5 2 5 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-231145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 40 100 100 70
Precip type Rain Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 55 68 60 77
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 11 SE 14 G30 SE 16 G32 S 7
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 9 SE 17 G33 S 11 G26 SW 9
Precip amount 0.02 0.65 2.07 0.41
Precip duration 1 9 12 3
Inversion 1900 64/1000 2000 68/1000
Dispersion Excellent Excellent
Max/Min RH (%) 97 68 100 62
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2630 4270
Transport wnd (mph) SE 36 SW 15
Ventilation rate 94680 64050
ADI early 44 Gen good 65 Good 68 Good 14 Gen poor
ADI late 10 poor 77 Good 11 poor 42 Gen good
Max LVORI early 4 6 5 8
Max LVORI late 5 4 8 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-231145-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 60 100 100 70
Precip type Rain Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 55 67 59 78
Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 9 E 13 G22 E 14 G27 SE 6
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 8 SE 15 G24 E 8 SW 7
Precip amount 0.04 0.78 1.72 0.30
Precip duration 1 10 12 3
Inversion 1900 62/1000 2000 67/1000
Dispersion Good Good
Max/Min RH (%) 98 69 100 57
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2390 4410
Transport wnd (mph) SE 36 SW 15
Ventilation rate 86040 66150
ADI early 46 Gen good 52 Gen good 67 Good 10 poor
ADI late 9 poor 76 Good 10 poor 47 Gen good
Max LVORI early 4 6 5 9
Max LVORI late 6 4 9 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-231145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
341 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud amount MCldy Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Precip chc (%) 50 90 100 70
Precip type Rain Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 53 68 58 76
Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 9 E 13 G21 E 16 G29 E 9
Wnd20ft/late(mph) E 9 E 14 G23 E 12 G24 S 7
Precip amount 0.03 0.56 1.31 0.33
Precip duration 1 9 12 5
Inversion 1900 61/1000 2000 65/1000
Dispersion Excellent Excellent
Max/Min RH (%) 93 65 99 60
DSI 2 2
Haines Index 3 3 2 3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2930 4750
Transport wnd (mph) SE 37 SW 13
Ventilation rate 108410 61750
ADI early 42 Gen good 46 Gen good 76 Good 19 Gen poor
ADI late 10 poor 83 Good 14 Gen poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 5 4 8
Max LVORI late 5 3 7 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
RGZ
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- Page last modified: Mar 8th, 2018 20:36 UTC