Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000 FXUS63 KJKL 180812 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 412 AM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018 .SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Monday) Issued at 412 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2018 The short term forecast discussion will follow shortly. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 412 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2018 Active weather will continue across eastern Kentucky next week, as the long wave pattern remains amplified, but fairly progressive. Wet conditions will be in place Monday night, as a surface low pressure system moves across the Tennessee Valley. Northwest flow will linger behind the departed low pressure on Tuesday, with a deepening trough to lay out across the eastern CONUS through mid-week. Precipitation will linger across eastern Kentucky, with colder air allowing for a snow threat, particularly across the higher terrain Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Will continue to generalize the impacts, as there is still plenty of time to look for better model consensus with regards to the temperature profile. Drier conditions will work in by Wednesday evening, as ridging builds in from the west. Benign conditions will hold on through at least early Friday, before the next potential system moves in by late in the day. Still favoring a slower solution here, so did undercut the blended model guidance for the POPs, holding back the better chances until Friday night into Saturday. Temperatures will average below normal through most of next week, especially Wednesday and Thursday. Near normal readings will return by Saturday.
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&& .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night) ISSUED AT 144 AM EDT SUN MAR 18 2018 The low pressure system that traversed eastern KY and brought us showers and thunderstorms this past afternoon/evening, has now exited SE of the state. However, lingering moisture from this system will continue the llvl clouds across the region throughout the overnight. Most locations will experience MVFR conditions, however IFR or lower CIGS may hold on at KSJS and KJKL for the next several hours. Drier air will then filter into the region late tonight and into the day tomorrow, with CIGS improving to VFR at all TAF sites by mid morning. Skies should begin to clear out from north to south throughout the afternoon and remain so through the rest of the forecast period. Winds are a bit breezy out of the north at KSME and KLOZ currently, but should dissipate by the morning. Otherwise, expect light and variable conditions though the extent of the period at all TAF sites. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...JMW LONG TERM...GEOGERIAN AVIATION...JMW is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.