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135
FXUS62 KKEY 300251
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1051 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
-- Changed Discussion --
Issued at 1026 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Weather across the region featured a decayed MCS over the
Mississippi River Delta followed by a wake low. To our south,
Cuban seabreezes collided into afternoon thunderstorms. The
easterly breezes diminished this afternoon and evening as the
high over the western North Atlantic lost latitude. The 00Z KKEY
RAOB sampled a little less low-level moisture compared to
yesterday at this time. Inhibition is minimal and ML instability
is weak. Given the decreased low-level kinematics, moisture
convergence overnight is not likely. Plan views suggest an implied
low-level inverted trough lingering across the Bahama Banks and
the Keys over the next couple of days, likely due to the lower
heights aloft noted on water vapor imagery. POPs would be likelier
if this was a month or two from now. The inherited forecast is on
track and calls for slight rain chances overnight and lows in the
mid 70s.
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&&

.MARINE...
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Issued at 1026 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
High pressure will meander in the western North Atlantic about
halfway between the northwestern Bahamas and Bermuda through mid-
week. As this high weakens slowly, east to southeast breezes will
slacken to gentle to moderate. Another high moving across the
eastern United States mid to late week will phase with the current
high over the Atlantic. This high will result in undulations in
the northeast to east breezes late week and into the weekend.
Breezes will tend to peak overnight, then lull during the
afternoon.
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&&

.AVIATION...
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(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1026 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
VFR, occasional alto decks, and easterly breezes will prevail at
the EYW and MTH terminals overnight.
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Key West  75  84  76  84 /  20  20  20  10
Marathon  75  86  76  86 /  20  20  20  10
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&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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FL...None.
GM...None.
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&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...CLR
Aviation/Nowcasts....CLR
Data Acquisition.....DR

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