-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
025
FXUS62 KKEY 040238
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1038 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
-- Changed Discussion --
Issued at 932 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Currently - A rather complicated multi-lobed high complex blankets
is spread across the eastern United States and the adjacent
Atlantic. This is driving moderate to fresh northeast to easterly
breezes across the Keys and surrounding waters. Meanwhile, a
relatively narrow upper ridge is aligned along the Atlantic
coast. This evenings sounding indicated a backing lower level
profile and poor moisture content. Precipitable water was just
above one inch with virtually zero inhibition, while surface dew
points are around 70. As a result, all shower activity this
evening has been located along lee side boundaries emanating off
of South Florida and Andros Island. None of this activity has been
anywhere near the island chain. The healthy flow has slowed night
time cooling and temperatures remain near 80.

Short Term Update - The previously mentioned high complex will
move towards consolidation through the overnight period
consolidate some with little movement. Expect northeast to
easterly breezes to moderate some through the night. With that
said, the steady flow will all but ensure slightly above normal
overnight lows and dew points will remain near 70. A few showers
cannot be ruled out as lower level moisture is expected to
increase slightly and inhibition will remain limited at best.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.MARINE...
-- Changed Discussion --
Issued at 932 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

High pressure centered off the Carolina Coast will result in
moderate to fresh easterly breezes on Keys waters. In the short
term, winds are peaking now and should diminish slightly through
the remainder of the night.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.AVIATION...
-- Changed Discussion --
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 932 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight.
Moderate easterly breezes will gradually diminish slightly through
the night.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...11
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....DR

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