Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --099 FXUS62 KKEY 020233 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1033 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION...-- Changed Discussion --Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Currently - Complicated surface ridging across the northwestern Atlantic and the southeastern United States is maintaining light to gentle easterly breezes across the Keys this evening. This evenings sounding indicated very little in the way of inhibition, but what little there is exists quite low, based around 925 mb. Despite troughing from the mid levels up, there is a dearth of deep layered moisture with precipitable water around 1.16 inches. To be fair, the Keys are situated just west of the axis. Shower activity has been muted this evening with nearly all of it located well away from the island chain. Seasonably warm conditions prevail with temperatures just below 80 and dew points in the lower 70s. Short Term Update - The previously mentioned ridge complex will remain fairly stationary and keep winds gentle out of the east. Overall moisture profile is also expected to remain relatively steady with some increase at the highest levels. Weak low level inhibition should continue with low level lift remaining limited. There are a number of upstream boundaries that could result in localized forcing. On balance, a few showers cannot be ruled out, but overall chances will remain slim. Expect overnight lows to be near normal in the mid 70s with dew points remaining in the lower 70s. Ongoing forecast is on track and no update is planned.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .MARINE...-- Changed Discussion --Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Ridging will remain across the southeastern United States and keep winds light to gentle across Keys waters through the overnight period. No changes made in the evening marine update.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .AVIATION...-- Changed Discussion --(00Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals through the overnight period. Surface winds will be light out of the east.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...11 Aviation/Nowcasts....11 Data Acquisition.....MJV Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest