Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
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612 FXUS63 KLBF 130855 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 355 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... *Next chance for widespread precipitation is Tuesday *Cooler temperatures Wednesday *Slight precipitation chances towards the end of the week && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 351 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Lingering rain showers may be possible early this morning, generally along and east of HWY 183, as showers rotate around the sfc low that is slowly moving east. The main concern in the short term will be increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms ahead of a shortwave. The greatest threat for thunderstorm development will generally be Tuesday afternoon generally along HWY 61 and eastward, where the greatest instability exist, 0 to 3 km CAPE values will be around 1000 J/kg or greater. There will be a chance for an isolated chance for a strong and perhaps severe storm during the afternoon and early evening hours. Showers and thunderstorm chances will continue thorugh the overnight into early in the day Wednesday. With the wildfires in Canada and the upper level flow Monday afternoon, did add a brief mention of near-sfc smoke into the forecast for far north central Nebraska through the late afternoon. There is the potential smoke could impact locations further west, but at this moment confidence is low, so have kept the locations across far north central. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 351 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 After highs in the 70s to low 80s on Tuesday, temperatures will become cooler on Wednesday in the upper 60s to low 70s. The cool down will only be brief though as temperatures rebound back into the 80s by Friday. The next chance for precipitation comes towards the end of the week with isolated chances Thu. and Fri. and a more scattered to maybe even widespread chance on Saturday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Low stratus clouds and scattered rain showers will exit the remainder of the forecast area (central Neb terminals) overnight, leaving in their wake mostly clear skies and light winds. Residual near surface moisture has resulted in patchy fog in the river valleys, notably LBF. The fog should dissipate shortly after sunrise. Northeast winds gradually become southeast throughout the forecast period, while remaining generally light (12 kts or less). && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Gomez LONG TERM...Gomez AVIATION...Snively