Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
364 FXUS65 KLKN 292117 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 217 PM PDT Mon Apr 29 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Breezy to locally windy conditions will continue across portions of northern and central Nevada this evening. In addition, there will be isolated showers and possibly a thunderstorm in northern Elko county. For tomorrow, gusty northwest winds will continue with slightly colder air filtering into the state for Wednesday with highs only in the 50s. Dry conditions and a warming trend along with lighter winds are expected for the latter part of the week but another storm system could bring more active weather to the region over the weekend and into next week. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Tuesday night. Current radar loop is showing some light returns across portions of northern Elko county this afternoon. This is due to a upper trough skirting along the US/Canadian border. The showers will remain on the light side, with a lightning strike or two, and diminish into the early evening hours. Winds will remain strong and gusty, especially across the areas east in Elko county, where a wind advisory remains in effect. Look for winds to gust to 50-55 mph there. For tonight, clear and cool conditions will prevail with lows in the 20s and 30s. For Tuesday and Tuesday night, a west to east flow will develop as an additional upper trough moves along the northern Rockies. Northern and central Nevada is expected to remain dry during the day and overnight. WInds will continue to remain breezy to locally windy with highs in the 50s and 60s. Quiet and cool will be the rule during the overnight with lows in the 20s and 30s. .LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Monday Weather pattern in the long term shows on-and-off weather, as the low pressure system over Wednesday continues to give chances of 40% or lower for precipitation over northeastern Nevada. Cooler temperatures with highs in the 40s to 50s are expected from the passing cold front with lows in the 20s. Breezy northwesterly winds expected in the afternoon at 10-20 mph for central and northeastern Nevada. Thursday, a drier pattern towards central Nevada is expected with slightly warmer temperatures in the 50s to 60s expected as a more zonal flow moves across the silver state. Small chances for precipitation remain for portions of northeastern Nevada along the state border, with chances at 20% or below. Breezy westerly winds expected across the state at 10-15 mph, with 15-20 mph for northwestern Nevada. Friday is expected to be a quiet weather day with high temperatures reaching into the 60s to 70s and lows in the 30s to 40s. Light westerly winds at 5-10 mph. Saturday and Sunday, models are showing another active weather pattern making its way towards the western U.S. however there is low confidence on the position of the system. Chances of precipitation is expected to return, with chances at 25-45% for northern Nevada. High temperatures Saturday expected to be in the 70s, and will cool into the 60s by Sunday. Lows also expected to cool, however remain in the 30s to 40s. Breezy southerly winds expected each day in the afternoons, with speeds at 15-20 mph. The weather pattern is likely to continue through Monday with highs down into the upper 50s and westerly winds at 15-20 mph. We will keep an eye on this next weather system as it develops and makes its way towards the states. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all terminals over the next 24 hour period. Gusty northwesterly winds expected at all terminals with speeds reaching as high as 30 kts and is expected to dissipate in the evening. && .HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to continued snow melt and recent rainfall. Cooler temperatures are expected the next few days, including freezing temperatures at night at higher elevations, which will likely slow high elevation snow melt. A few showers are expected this afternoon across far northern Nevada but are expected to be insignificant in terms of hydrology with a few hundredths of an inch of rain at best. The Bruneau River is currently in action stage and will likely remain in action stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in minor flood stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days, but remain in minor flood stage. The Humboldt River at Comus is currently oscillating near minor flood stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days, remaining in minor flood stage. The Marys River near Deeth is currently in action stage and is forecast to gradually fall over the next several days, falling below action state as early as this afternoon. The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and is forecast to gradually fall over the next several days, remaining in action stage. The Owyhee River near Mountain City is currently in minor flood stage. The river is forecast to gradually fall below minor flood stage late this week. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Wind Advisory until 10 PM PDT this evening Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range...South Central Elko County...Southeastern Elko County. && $$ 86/97/97