220
FXUS65 KLKN 282132
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
232 PM PDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...A few upper-level disturbances will bring showers and
gusty winds to mainly northern Nevada Monday and Wednesday.
Otherwise, quite and dry conditions along with warming
temperatures are expected next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday night

A northwest flow over the CWA will continue to bring quite and
dry conditions tonight under partly cloudy skies. Overnight lows
will mostly be in the 30s with light winds. By Monday, an upper-
level wave and cold front from the Pacific Northwest will move
across northern Nevada. West winds will increase up to 25-35 mph
with gusts up to 55 mph for the Ruby Mountains/East Humboldt
Range, South Central and Southeastern Elko Counties during the
day. The rest of the forecast area will see winds of 15-20 mph
with gusts as high as 35 mph.

Meanwhile, a combination of moisture and instability will lead to
light valley rain showers and thunderstorms along with mountain
snow Monday afternoon in and near Northern Elko County.
Accumulations will be light with valley rain totals less than
0.15" and mountain snow totals around an inch or less. Shower
activity is expected to taper off along with subsiding winds
through the evening. Daytime high temperatures will be in the 50s
across northern Nevada and 60s across central Nevada. Overnight
lows will cool into the lower 20s and lower 30s under mostly
clear skies.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through next Saturday.

Look for a more west to east flow across the area on Tuesday as
upper level low pressure sits across the northern Rockies. Winds
will be out of the west and northwest with gusts of 30 to 40 mph.
Readings for high temperatures will be few degrees cooler from
Monday`s highs, with temperatures in the 60s and 70s. Some light,
isolated showers are possible in the northern parts of Elko county
with little to no accumulation expected. The threat for light
showers continues in the overnight with lows in the 20s and 30s.

Models continue to depict another shortwave trough Wednesday
moving through the area. This will keep the threat for light
showers in the northeast part of the forecast area. Cooler
temperatures are expected as a cold front will move through. Highs
will be in the 50s and 60s. Northwest winds will again be breezy
to windy with gusts to 30 to 40 mph. Quiet conditions are expected
to be in the 20s and 30s.

Northwest flow will continue Thursday and Friday with a shortwave
staying off to the north. Temperatures are expected to gradually
warm with conditions in the 50s and 60s on Thursday, rising to the
60s and 70s by Friday. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s. Winds
will be breezy to locally windy each afternoon but will remain
below advisory thresholds. Light showers are possible in the
northern sections of the forecast area with temperatures in the
70s.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at all terminals over the
next 24 hours. Winds will increase Monday W-NW15-25G35KT after
18Z.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across many streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to snow
melt and recent rainfall. Cooler temperatures are expected the
next few days, including freezing temperatures at night at higher
elevations, which will likely slow high elevation snow melt. There
will be opportunities for light rain and higher elevation snow
showers across northern Nevada through the first half of the week
but hydrologic impact should be minimal as wetting rains are not
expected.

The Bruneau River is currently in action stage and will likely
remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in minor flood
stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days,
remaining in minor flood stage.

The Humboldt River at Comus is currently in minor flood stage and
is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days, remaining in
minor flood stage.

The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and
is forecast to gradually fall over the next several days,
remaining in action stage.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City is currently in minor flood
stage. The river is forecast to gradually fall below minor flood
stage late this week.

Wildhorse Dam is expected to slowly fall over the next several
days, remaining in action stage.

The Mary`s River near Deeth is currently in action stage and is
forecast to slowly recede over the next several days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 10 PM PDT Monday Ruby Mountains and
East Humboldt Range...South Central Elko County...Southeastern
Elko County.

&&

$$

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