000
FXUS65 KLKN 172147
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
247 PM PDT Wed Apr 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry weather across the region is expected for
the rest of week. A transition to an active weather pattern
occurs early next week as a low pressure system begins to move
across the western U.S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night

A trough of low pressure is clipping across northern NV with a
weak cold front moving across the state. Breezy winds out of the
west- northwest will remain elevated through the evening hours and
expected to diminish late tonight. By Thursday, the trough exits
east with zonal flow over the region, bringing warm and dry
conditions for much of the day. Afternoon highs will warm into
the mid to upper 60s, with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s under
partly cloudy skies. Winds will be breezy out of the west-
northwest at 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph possible in
central NV.

.LONG TERM...Friday through Wednesday

A weak weather disturbance within a broad west-northwest flow
pattern will interact with some atmospheric moisture to bring a
some instability showers to portions of White Pine county Friday
afternoon. Little to no rainfall is expected in valleys with less
than a 10% chance of any precipitation. Otherwise, dry condtions
overall with partly cloudy skies each day are expected through the
weekend. Temperatures will warm from the 60s Friday to the mid
70s for many valleys early next week. Lows will drop into the 30s
and 40s through the weekend. Breezy west winds will persist
through the weekend as well but should diminish during the
overnight hours.

A transition to a more active weather pattern occurs Tuesday of
next week as a troughing pattern begins to set up across the
western U.S. However, overall moisture will be lacking with PWAT
values in the 0.3 to 0.5 inch range. However, southwest advection
of Pacific moisture will lead to more widespread convective
showers and possible thunderstorms by midweek.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected for all terminals over the
next 24 hour period. FEW to SCT mid and upper-level clouds are
expected but dry conditions will persist through Wednesday. A
noticeable north to northwest winds around 10 knots with gusts to
20 knots this afternoon will transition to more northeasterly
this evening across the area. Winds are expected to diminish at
all TAF sites around midnight through the early morning hours
Thursday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Many streams, creeks and rivers across northern and
central Nevada have elevated flows. Dry conditions are expected
the remainder of the week, however temperatures will be trending
warmer which will again help to accelerate the melting of the
remaining mid and high elevation snowpack.

The Bruneau River is currently in action stage, with the flow
expected to slowly rise, possibly up to the low end of minor flood
stage tonight.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in action stage
and expected to slowly rise, but remain below minor flood stage
for the remainder of the week.

Marys River above Hot Springs Creek near Deeth is currently
entering action stage, and expected to slowly rise tonight but not
reach flood stage.

The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and
expected to gradually rise tonight, but remain below minor flood
stage.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City is expected to remain around
8.0 feet (the low end of minor flood stage) over the next several
days.

Wildhorse Dam is currently at action stage and is expected to
gradually rise, but remain below minor flood stage over the coming
days.

The flow Humboldt River at Comus continues to steadily rise. The
forecast calls for the river stage to rise to action stage by Friday
afternoon.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.

&&

$$

90/93/93