Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
909 FXUS64 KLZK 101033 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 533 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday Night) Issued at 238 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Quieter and much drier conditions are ongoing across the state early this Fri morning in wake of the cold front that moved through on Thu. SFC high pressure will settle across the region by tonight into Sat...with weak SRLY flow returning for Sat afternoon/evening. Forecast highs will be in the upper 60s to around 80 for this afternoon...and a few deg warmer for Sat in the 70s to low 80s. Lows will drop down into the upper 40s to upper 50s tonight/Sat morning...and a few deg warmer for Sat night into Sun morning. Expect the dry conditions to continue. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 238 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 SUNDAY: As far of the long-term forecast period begins, Sunday looks to be the only completely dry day of the period across the CWA. An upper lvl ridge is positioned over Arkansas with an approaching closed low in the Central Plains region of the CONUS. A sfc high pressure center will remain in positioned across the region keeping weather conditions fair and dry, but cloud cover will increase from west to east across Arkansas during the day on Sunday. Expect dry conditions with temperatures near average compared to climatological normals for this time of the year. MONDAY/TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: The workweek will be filled with a period of unsettled weather as several upper lvl trofs will approach and move over the Natural State during the week. At the sfc, multiple deepening low pressure systems will become established leeward of the Rocky Mountain region of the CONUS and move into the Central Plains region of the CONUS with their attendant lifting warm fronts and approaching cold front that will move across the state and provide ample opportunities for showers and thunderstorms throughout the workweek. It remains too far into the future to pin down if we will see another bout of widespread severe weather across the CWA, but isolated severe thunderstorms will not be out of the question during this period. Stay tuned to future forecast discussions that will continue to narrow down the specifics as we approach the workweek. In relation to temperatures over this period, anticipate temperatures to remain slightly above average compared to climatological normals for this time of the year. && .AVIATION...
-- Changed Discussion --
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period as dry air and high pressure settles across the region.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 75 54 81 57 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 80 55 81 60 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 70 51 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 80 54 82 60 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 78 57 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 80 58 81 62 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 78 53 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 73 51 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 75 54 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 78 56 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 78 51 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 76 54 81 58 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 75 56 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...62 LONG TERM....74 AVIATION...62