National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KLZK 131831
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
131 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

A calm and drier period is expected in the short term as high
pressure will takeover the weather pattern. Currently, southwest
winds could be gusty through the afternoon hours before becoming
calmer by this evening and overnight. Winds will continue out of the
southwest Sunday afternoon and could be gusty at times.

Temperatures are expected to be more average to slightly above
average this weekend. High temperatures are expected to be in the
upper 70s to mid 80s with overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Precip will largely remain west of the area at the start of the
period as the H500 cyclone continues to work its way from east of
the Four Corners toward the Great Lakes. A sfc cyclone will be in
place over parts of Nebraska with a trailing dryline/cold front
extending south into Texas and Oklahoma. With a broad warm sector in
place, storms are expected to form across the Central/Southern
Plains Monday evening and slowly work their way into western parts
of the state by Tuesday morning. Overall severe wx threat at this
time should remain low.

As Tuesday progresses, the mid-level cyclone will intensify as it
lifts toward the northeast. The cold front will slowly move into
Arkansas and srly winds will really be on the increase as the
pressure gradient intensifies. Td values across the state will
generally be aoa 60 F with some spots taking a run at 70 F by Tue
evening.

Additional storms are expected to develop across the state
from Tuesday afternoon through the evening hours, racing to the
northeast. While instability values continue to vary across
available 12z data, ample shear remains present. Increasing SRH
values, noticeably low LCL heights and forecast hodograph shapes are
indicative of supercells that could produce tornadoes. This may
require an increase in severe probs across parts of the state. At
this time that may be along portions of the I-30/Hwy 67/167
corridor.

Later in the week another cold front is expected to move across the
state beneath a northern stream system. Showers and thunderstorms
will be possible before sfc ridging pushes south toward the state
and cooler air moves in. Lows in the 30s F are possible across
northern parts of the state next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1143 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Widespread VFR conditions are expected through the period. Some
high level clouds will be possible through tonight. Surface winds
will be out of the SW and could be gusty through evening hours
today. Wind shear is possible today and will likely affect
terminals after 03/04Z Sunday lasting through early Sunday
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     59  82  62  82 /   0  10   0   0
Camden AR         56  82  60  81 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       59  83  60  83 /   0   0   0  10
Hot Springs AR    58  81  61  81 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  60  82  63  83 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     59  82  62  81 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      58  80  61  81 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  57  84  60  84 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        59  82  62  83 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     58  81  61  81 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   57  82  61  83 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         54  81  60  81 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      59  80  62  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...73