Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 220833
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
333 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

An upper trough is centered over the Desert Southwest providing
upper lift over southeast New Mexico and West Texas. Southeast
surface winds are bringing in good low-level moisture with dewpoints
in the upper 50s to 60s across much of the area. This lift and
moisture has resulted in showers and thunderstorms across western
portions of the CWA this morning. Temperatures today are expected to
be similar to yesterday with highs mostly in the 80s. Thunderstorms
will again be possible this afternoon and evening across mostly the
higher terrain and southeast New Mexico with good moisture and upper
lift remaining in place. A few storms may be strong to severe with
strong wind gusts and hail.

The upper trough lifts northward on Wednesday and upper ridging
builds over the region. This will result in temperatures warming up
a bit from the previous day. Thunderstorms will again be possible
across the same areas as the previous day. This same trend continues
into Thursday with temperatures warming up into the 90s across much
of the CWA. Temperatures warm up into the upper 90s across much of
the Permian Basin on Friday and storm chances and coverage decreases
with an upper ridge overhead. This trend continues through the
weekend with temperatures climbing into the triple digits. West
Texas will be caught between two upper troughs over the weekend. Not
much change is expected into early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     86  67  90  67 /  20  20  10  20
Carlsbad                       85  65  89  63 /  40  30  40  30
Dryden                         88  71  91  72 /  20  10  20  20
Fort Stockton                  86  67  88  67 /  30  20  20  20
Guadalupe Pass                 80  61  83  61 /  30  30  30  30
Hobbs                          82  62  85  62 /  40  30  20  30
Marfa                          82  57  85  58 /  30  30  30  30
Midland Intl Airport           87  68  89  67 /  30  20  10  20
Odessa                         86  68  89  67 /  30  20  20  20
Wink                           88  67  90  68 /  30  20  20  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/80



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